SERIES: Telecommunications market in CIS countries 2010

The series of reports aims to present a detailed overview of the telecommunications market in CIS countries:

- Belarus
- Kazakhstan
- Ukraine.

Additionally, each part includes a data sheet covering Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Georgia. The series can be purchased as a whole or by country.
 
It includes analyses and forecasts for the entire telecoms market as well as its individual segments. It also provides development forecasts for all CIS countries in the period 2010-2014. The report’s objective is to provide the reader mostly with all the important current statistics, but also with an analysis of the differences and similarities between the countries under study. The study also contains the most important events that have influenced the situation in the telecommunications market in the particular countries in the last two years or so.

Key report sections

• Regional summary and comparative analysis of all 11 countries
• Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine – telecommunications markets in detail
  • brief description of the telecommunications market
  • market value and growth rates of the whole market and its key segments (mobile, fixed-line telephony, internet) in 2005-2009
  • key trends, characteristics and major events in 2007-2010 (regulatory changes, acquisitions, frequency tenders, etc.)
  • list of key market players by revenues
  • level of investment in the sector
  • forecasts with a short comment for 2010-2014
• Overview of the telecommunications sector in other CIS countries – data sheet: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Georgia

Indicators provided in the data sheet, for the period 2005-2009:

• population
• number of households
• GDP growth
• EUR/local currency official average annual exchange rate
• value of the telecommunications market
• value of the mobile telephony market
• value of the fixed-line telephony market
• value of the ISP market
• value of the wholesale services market
• growth of the telecommunications market
• growth of the particular segments
• number of mobile SIM cards
• number of fixed-line telephony subscribers
• number of internet users
• number of fixed broadband connections
• mobile penetration
• fixed-line penetration
• internet penetration
• broadband penetration

What questions will be answered in the report?

• What is the current state of the telecommunications market and its major segments in CIS countries?
• What is the telecoms infrastructure development level in selected CIS countries?
• How is the CIS telecoms market going to change by 2014?
• What are the key similarities and differences between CIS countries?
• What are the investment opportunities on the telecoms market in particular countries?

Key report advantages

• great source of information on the whole region (11 countries covered) with a focus on the most prospective economies (Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine)
• unified methodology, enabling quick and convenient comparisons
• most vital, thorough data on all key segments of the telecommunications market available in one publication
• reliable PMR forecasts provided for each country, including key indicators and values, both financial and operational

When will the report be most useful

• launching operations in one of the CIS countries
• operating in the telecommunications services market in the CIS region
• widening business activity scope to CIS region
• analysis of development potential of CIS countries
• estimation of telecommunications services penetration level in CIS region
• evaluation of investment possibilities in CIS countries

Who should read the report

• telecommunications and networking equipment providers
• international distributors of ICT products and services
• telecommunications companies
• international companies planning investments in the emerging markets
• consulting, research and analytical firms
• governmental bodies and embassies
• chambers of commerce
• financial institutions, banks, investment funds, brokerage houses

Reports available in this series:

• SERIES: Telecommunications market in CIS countries 2010 »
  Development forecasts for 2010-2014
• Telecommunications market in CIS countries 2010 - Belarus »
  Development forecasts for 2010-2014
• Telecommunications market in CIS countries 2010 - Kazakhstan »
  Development forecasts for 2010-2014
• Telecommunications market in CIS countries 2010 - Ukraine »
  Development forecasts for 2010-2014

Extract from this report

• Mobile telephony remains the biggest segment of the telecommunications market in all of the CIS countries. In Ukraine , Moldova , Belarus and Armenia , fixed telephony is already matured and there is almost no unsatisfied demand or pending inquiries for connection of fixed telephones. The number of fixed lines in these countries stopped growing and even started to decline, being replaced by mobile voice service which became comparable with the fixed telephony by price-creating competition between fixed and mobile telephony.
   
• CIS countries have limited development of copper telephone networks which restricts the growth of ADSL lines and blocks investments coming in this area. Therefore the solution of last mile access in the CIS is offered by mobile operators, which have launched 3G networks.
   
• In Middle Asian countries and Caucasus states, wireless access plays an important role, as for many users it is the only way to be connected to the internet. Construction of WiMAX networks has been announced in many countries and in Belarus and Ukraine this technology has already been launched, however, as of yet, it has not gotten mass recognition.

Market commentary by expert

Despite sharing a common past CIS countries are very different as regards their: size, number and density of their populations, economies, business and legal environments, political systems and even the mentality and worldview of the people living in each specific state. There is no common economic regulation in CIS or coordination of members’ economic policies. Only recently Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan created a common economic area, which will lead to the harmonization of legislation in these countries. These differences impact on the current development of telecommunication markets in CIS countries.
 
Pawel Olszynka, IT&Telecom Head Analyst

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1. Methodology of the report p. 11

2. Economic and demographic situation in CIS countries and Georgia p. 15

   • Demographic indicators p. 16
   • Macroeconomic indicators p. 19

3. The telecommunications markets in CIS countries and Georgia p. 23

   • The fixed-line telephony market in CIS countries and Georgia p. 27
   • The mobile telephony market in CIS countries and Georgia p. 28
   • The ISP market in the CIS countries and Georgia p. 30
   • Market development forecast for 2010-2014 p. 33
   • Legal and regulatory overview of CIS telecommunications markets p. 35

4. The telecommunications market in Belarus p. 39

   • The fixed-line telephony market in Belarus p. 41
     • Current market situation p. 41
     • Number of fixed telephony users and penetration p. 43
   • The mobile telephony market in Belarus p. 44
     • Current market situation p. 44
     • Market structure p. 46
     • Number of mobile telephony users and penetration p. 48
     • Main characteristics of the Belorussian mobile telephony market p. 49
   • The ISP market in Belarus p. 50
     • Current market situation p. 50
     • Number of internet users and penetration p. 52
     • Market structure p. 53
     • Main characteristics of the Belorussian ISP market p. 54
   • Key players in the Belorussian telecommunications market p. 55
     • BelTeleCom p. 55
     • MTS Belarus p. 57
     • Velcom (brands Velcom and Privet) p. 58
     • BeST (Belarusian Telecommunications Network) brands life:) and 3G life:) p. 60
     • BelCel DIALLOG p. 61
   • Market development forecasts for 2010-2014 p. 62

5. The telecommunications market in Kazakhstan p. 67

   • The fixed-line telephony market in Kazakhstan p. 70
     • Current market situation p. 70
     • Number of fixed telephony users and penetration p. 73
   • The mobile telephony market in Kazakhstan p. 74
     • Current market situation p. 74
     • Market structure p. 76
     • Number of mobile telephony users and penetration p. 77
     • Main characteristics of the Kazakh mobile telephony market p. 78
   • The ISP market in Kazakhstan p. 80
     • Current market situation p. 80
     • Number of internet users and penetration p. 80
     • Market structure p. 82
     • Main characteristics of the Kazakh ISP market p. 83
   • Key players in the Kazakh telecommunications market p. 84
     • KazakhTeleCom p. 85
     • GSM Kazakhstan (brand names KCell and Activ) p. 87
     • KazTransCom p. 88
     • Vimplecom Kazakhstan (KaR-Tel and CA-Telecom) p. 90
   • Market development forecasts for 2010-2014 p. 91
     • Sales of Nursat p. 94

6. The telecommunications market in Ukraine p. 95

   • The fixed-line telephony market in Ukraine p. 97
     • Current market situation p. 97
     • Number of fixed telephony users and penetration p. 99
   • The mobile telephony market in Ukraine p. 101
     • Current market situation p. 101
     • Market structure p. 103
     • Number of mobile telephony users and penetration p. 104
     • Main characteristics of the Ukrainian mobile telephony market p. 106
   • The ISP market in Ukraine p. 107
     • Current market situation p. 107
     • Number of internet users and penetration p. 109
     • Market structure p. 110
     • Main characteristics of the Ukrainian ISP market p. 112
   • Key players in the Ukrainian telecommunications market p. 113
     • UkrTeleCom p. 114
     • KyivStar p. 115
     • MTS Ukraine p. 117
     • Astelit p. 118
     • Brand name life:) p. 118
     • Vimplecom Ukraine p. 119
     • (Ukrainian Radio Systems [URS] and Golden Telecom Ukraine) p. 119
     • Volia p. 120
   • Market development forecast for 2010-2014 p. 121
     • Reorganisation of Vimpelcom p. 124
     • Privatisation of UkrTeleCom p. 125

7. Statistical annex p. 127

   • Armenia - data sheet p. 127
   • Azerbaijan - data sheet p. 128
   • Belarus - data sheet p. 129
   • Georgia - data sheet p. 130
   • Kazakhstan - data sheet p. 131
   • Kyrgyzstan - data sheet p. 132
   • Moldova - data sheet p. 133
   • Tajikistan - data sheet p. 134
   • Turkmenistan - data sheet p. 135
   • Ukraine - data sheet p. 136
   • Uzbekistan - data sheet p. 137

8. List of graphs p. 139

9. List of tables p. 143

10. About PMR p. 145

11. Contact PMR p. 146

List of graphs

1. Map of the Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia, 2010
2. Population (millions) and the density of population (people per 1 km2) of CIS countries and Georgia, H1 2010
3. Urbanisation level (%) of population in CIS countires and Georgia, H1 2010
4. Population (million) of the major CIS countries besides Russia, 2005-H1 2010
5. Nominal GDP ($ bn) and GDP per capita ($) of CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
6. Nominal GDP (PPP $ bn) and GDP per capita (PPN $) in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
7. GDP growth (%, y-o-y) in CIS countries, 2009
8. Value (€ m) of telecommunications markets in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
9. Per capita spending (€) on the telecommunications services in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
10. Value of telecoms markets in CIS countries and Georgia in national currencies and growth rate (%), 2008-2009
11. Shares (%) of main segments of telecommunications markets in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
12. Number of fixed telephone lines (m) and penetration (%) in CIS countries and Georgia, H1 2010
13. Number of mobile telephony users (m) and penetration (%) in CIS countries and Georgia, H1 2010
14. Share of pre-paid and post-paid users in the total SIM card base in particular CIS countries and Georgia, 2010
15. Number of broadband subscribers (m) and broadband penetration (%) in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
16. Capacity of external gateway (gbps) in CIS countries and Georgia, 2009
17. Development perspectives of telecommunications markets in CIS countries and Georgia, 2010-2014
18. Value (BYR bn) and growth rate (%) of telecommunications market in Belarus, 2005-2009
19. Value (BYR bn) and share (%) of key segments of telecommunications market in Belarus, 2009
20. Investments (BYR bn and € m) in telecommunications industry in Belarus, 2005-H1 2010
21. Value (BYR bn) and growth rate (%) of fixed telephony market in Belarus, 2005-2009
22. Growth rate (%) of local and DLD/ILD fixed telephony in Belarus, 2006-2009
23. Value (BYR bn) and share (%) of local and DLD/ILD fixed telephony in Belarus, 2009
24. Number (m) of telephone lines and growth rate (%) in Belarus, 2005-H1 2020
25. Fixed telephony penetration (%) in Belarus, 2005-H1 2010
26. Value (BYR bn) and growth rate (%) of mobile telephony market in Belarus, 2005-2009
27. Value (BYR bn) and share (%) of voice and non-voice services in Belarussian mobile networks, 2009
28. Mobile telephony market structure – shares of leading operators by the number of registered SIM cards (m), H1 2010
29. Tariff (BYR) for one minute call outside the network of mobile operator in Belarus, H1 2010
30. Belorussian mobile market structure – share of leading operators by revenue (BYR bn), H1 2010
31. Number of registered SIM cards (m) on the mobile telephony market in Belarus and growth rate (%), 2005-H1 2010
32. Penetration (%) of mobile telephony service by the number of registered SIM cards in Belarus, 2005-H1 2010
33. ARPU (BYR) and AUPU (min.) indicators of leading mobile telephony operators in Belarus, H1 2010
34. Value (BYR bn) and growth rate (%) of ISP market in Belarus, 2005-2009
35. Number (‘000) and share (%) of private and institutional broadband internet users in Belarus, 2009
36. Number of broadband subscribers (‘000) and growth rate (%) in Belarus, 2007-2010
37. Internet audience (m) and growth rate (%) in Belarus, 2007-2010
38. Market share (%) of leading ISPs in Belarus by the number of users, H1 2010
39. Development perspectives of main segments of the telecommunications market in Belarus, 2011-2014
40. Value (BYR bn) of telecommunications market in Belarus by key market segments, 2009-2014
41. Value (KZT bn) and growth rate (%) of telecommunications market in Kazakhstan, 2005-2009
42. Value (KZT bn) and share (%) of key segments of telecommunications market in Kazakhstan, H1 2010
43. Shares (%) of business and private segmentsof telecommunications market in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
44. Investments (KZT bn and € bn) in telecommunications industry in Kazakhstan, 2006-H1 2010
45. Value (KZT bn) and growth rate (%) of fixed telephony market in Kazakhstan, 2005-2009
46. Growth rate (%) of local and DLD/ILD fixed telephony in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
47. Value (KZT bn) and share (%) of the main segments of fixed telephony market in Kazakhstan, H1 2010
48. Number (m) of fixed telephone lines and growth rate (%) in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
49. Fixed telephony penetration (%) in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
50. Value (KZT bn) and growth rate (%) of mobile telephony market in Kazakhstan, 2005-2009
51. Value (KZT bn) and share (%) of voice and non-voice services in Kazakh mobile networks, 2009
52. Kazakh mobile market structure – shares of mobile operators by the number of registered SIM cards (m), H1 2010
53. Kazakh mobile telephony market strucutre – share of leading operators by revenue (KZT bn), H1 2010
54. Number (m) of registered SIM cards and growth rate (%) in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
55. Penetration (%) of mobile telephony by the number of registered SIM cards in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
56. ARPU (KZT) and AUPU (min.) indicators of mobile telephony operators in Kazakhstan, H1 2010
57. Value (KZT bn) and growth rate (%) of Kazakh ISP market, 2005-2009
58. Number of internet users (m) and internet penetration (%) in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
59. Total number (‘000) of internet subscribers in Kazakhstan, 2005-H1 2010
60. Shares (%) of leading operators by the number of subscribers in ISP market in Kazakhstan, 2009
61. Shares (%) of internet access technologies in Kazakhstan, 2009
62. Development perspectives of main segments of the telecommunications market in Kazakhstan, 2010-2014
63. Value (KZT bn) of telecommunication market in Kazakhstan by key market segments, 2009-2014
64. Value (UAH bn) and growth rate (%) of telecommunications market in Ukraine, 2005-2009
65. Value (UAH bn) and share (%) of key segments of telecommunications market in Ukraine, 2009
66. Investments (UAH and € bn) in telecommunications industry in Ukraine, 2007-H1 2010
67. Value (UAH bn) and growth rate (%) of fixed telephony market in Ukraine, 2005-2009
68. Growth rate (%) of local and DLD/ILD fixed telephony in Ukraine, 2005-2009
69. Value (UAH bn) and shares (%) of the main segments of fixed telephony market in Ukraine, H1 2010
70. Number (m) of telephone lines and growth rate (%) in Ukraine, 2005-Q1 2010
71. Fixed telephony penetration (%) and residential fixed-line penetration (%) in Ukraine, 2005-Q1 2010
72. Value (UAH bn) and growth rate (%) of mobile telephony market in Ukraine, 2005-2009
73. Value (UAH bn) and share (%) of voice and non-voice services in Ukrainian mobile networks, 2009
74. Ukrainian mobile market structure – shares of leading operators by the number of registred SIM cards (m), H1 2010
75. Ukrainian mobile market structure – share of leading operators by revenue (UAH bn), 2009
76. Number of registered SIM cards (m) on the mobile telephony market in Ukraine and growth rate (%), 2005-H1 2010
77. Penetration (%) of mobile telephony by the number of registered SIM cards in Ukraine, 2005-H1 2010
78. Shares (%) of individual and corporate sector in value of mobile telephony market in Ukraine, H1 2010
79. ARPU (UAH) and AUPU (min) indicators of leading mobile telephony operators in Ukraine, 2009
80. Value (UAH bn) and growth rate (%) of Ukrainian ISP market, 2005-2009
81. Number (m) of private and corporate internet subscribers in Ukraine, 2007-H1 2010
82. Number of internet users (m) and internet penetration (%) in Ukraine, 2005-H1 2010
83. Number of households (m) with internet connection and penetration (%) of internet in the households in Ukraine, 2007-H1 2010
84. Ukrainian ISP market structure – shares of leading ISPs (%) and the number of subscribers (m), H1 2010
85. Shares (%) of main broiadband internet access technologies in Ukraine, 2009
86. Shares (%) of internet users by regions in Ukraine, October 2010
87. Structure (%) of KyivStar subscribers by category, 2009
88. Development perspectives of main segments of the telecommunications market in Ukraine, 2010-2014
89. Value (UAH bn) of telecommunications market in Ukraine by key market segments, 2009-2014

List of tables

1. List of mobile operators in CIS countries and Georgia by frequency resources and mobile technologies in use, Q3 2010
2. State of the telecommunications legislation and regulatory regimes in CIS countries and Georgia, end of Q3 2010 36-
3. Price of the monthly internet access service in Belarus, H1 2010
4. Sales generated by telecommunications services providers in Belarus, 2009-H1 2010
5. MTS Belarus: key data, 2005-H1 2010
6. MTS Belarus: key operational indicators, 2005-H1 2010
7. Velcom: key data, 2005-H1 2010
8. Velcom: key operational indicators, 2008-H1 2010
9. BeST key data, 2008-H1 2010
10. BeST: ARPU (BYR), 2009-H1 2010
11. Sales (KZT bn) generated by telecommunications services providers in Kazakhstan, 2009-H1 2010
12. KazakhTeleCom: key data, 2005-H1 2010
13. KazakhTeleCom: key operational indicators, 2005-H1 2010
14. GSM Kazakhstan: key data, 2006-H1 2010
15. GSM Kazakhstan: key operational indicators, 2005-H1 2010
16. KazTransCom: key data, 2005-H1 2010
17. Vimpelcom Kazakhstan: key data, 2006-H1 2010
18. VimpelCom: key operational indicators, 2005-H1 2010
19. Sales generated by telecommunications services providers in Ukraine, 2009-H1 2010
20. UkrTeleCom: key data, 2005-H1 2010
21. KyivStar: key data, 2005-H1 2010
22. MTS Ukraine: key data, 2006-H1 2010
23. Astelit: key data, 2005-H1 2010
24. Vimpelcom Ukraine: key data, 2006-H1 2010
25. Volia: key data, 2008-2009
26. Key macroeconomic data of Armenia, 2005-2011
27. Key data on the telecommunications market in Armenia, 2005-2011
28. Key macroeconomic data of Azerbaijan, 2005-2011
29. Key data on the telecommunications market in Azerbaijan, 2005-2011
30. Key macroeconomic data of Belarus, 2005-2011
31. Key data on the telecommunications market in Belarus, 2005-2011
32. Key macroeconomic data of Georgia, 2005-2011
33. Key data on the telecommunications market in Georgia, 2005-2011
34. Key macroeconomic data of Kazakhstan, 2005-2011
35. Key data on the telecommunications market in Kazakhstan, 2005-2011
36. Key macroeconomic data of Kyrgyzstan, 2005-2011
37. Key data on the telecommunications market in Kyrgyzstan, 2005-2011
38. Key macroeconomic data of Moldova, 2005-2011
39. Key data on the telecommunications market in Moldova, 2005-2011
40. Key macroeconomic data of Armenia, 2005-2011
41. Key data on the telecommunications market in Tajikistan, 2005-2011
42. Key macroeconomic data of Turkmenistan, 2005-2011
43. Key data on the telecommunications market in Turkmenistan, 2005-2011
44. Key macroeconomic data of Ukraine, 2005-2011
45. Key data on the telecommunications market in Ukraine, 2005-2011
46. Key macroeconomic data of Uzbekistan, 2005-2011
47. Key data on the telecommunications market in Uzbekistan, 2005-2011

Altimo
ArmenTel
Azercell
Azerfon
Aztelecom
Babylon Mobile
Bakcell
Beeline
BelCel
BelTeleCom
Cosmos TV
Deutsche Telekom
Digital TV
GSM Kazakhstan Intertelecom
KATEL
KazTeleCom
Kyivstar
KyrgyzTeleCom
Moldocell
Moldtelecom
MTS
Orange
Rostelecom
Sakertvelos Telekomi
Sistema
Skartel (Yota)
Tcell
Tele2
Telecom Asia
Telekom Austria
Telenor
TeliaSonera
TransTeleCom
Turkcell
Turkmen Telecom
Ukrtelecom
Uzbektelecom
Vimpelcom

and more...