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Retail in Ukraine 2012

Market analysis and development forecasts up to 2013

Retail in Ukraine 2012 Market analysis and development forecasts up to 2013

January 2012
Pages: 147
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The report analyses the market condition in Ukraine. The study presents the current retail trends, as well as the future outlook.

The study discusses the retail market size and development forecasts up to 2013 for the main retail segments of grocery, clothing and  footwear, consumer electronics, DIY, as well as cosmetics and toiletries.

An important part of the report is the profiles of the leading retailers in Ukraine, which – among other things – include an analysis of their financial standing and strategies for the coming years.

Benefit from solid Ukrainian market focus:

Did you know... 
The Foxtrot Group continues to dominate the consumer electronics and household appliances retail chain market in Ukraine.
Clothing remains the largest subgroup of the clothing and footwear market in Ukraine. In 2010, according to our estimates, 63.9% of market value was generated by clothing purchases.
Most grocery hypermarkets in Ukraine have been developed as individual projects or by grocery retailers with a hypermarket format as a marginal business segment.
Foreign retailers are still reluctant to embark upon the Ukrainian retail market. Among foreign companies grocery concerns have the most widespread presence, with the Metro Group and Auchan among the top five food retailers in Ukraine.
The Dnipropetrovsk region remains the most important market for ATB. About 31% of its stores are located in this area.
Over the last few years, the supermarket has become the most profitable and most rapidly developing grocery retail format.
Kiev and the Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv regions control more than 40% of the modern retail sales market in Ukraine between them, whereas only 29% of the country's population live in these areas.
Epicentr K and Nova Linia are the only Ukrainian DIY retailers which develop large store formats, with more than 10,000 m2 of retail space per store. In this subdivision of the market, they compete only with the foreign DIY operators Praktiker, OBI, and Leroy Merlin.
Direct selling will remain one of the more rapidly developing retail channels in Ukraine in the short term, with dietary supplement and food concerns becoming more prominent.
  • overview of the economic and demographic situation in Ukraine
  • Ukrainian retail market study: size, structure, trends and future outlook
  • market development forecasts up to 2013
  • insightful analysis of five key retail segments: grocery, clothing and footwear, consumer electronics, DIY, cosmetics and toiletries
  • systematic characteristics of the largest retail players in Ukraine, both foreign and national companies and chains.

Reach deeper level of understanding of the Ukrainian retail market

  • How is Ukrainian retail organized? How does it operate?
  • What is the size and structure of the retail market in Ukraine?
  • What are the current trends on the market?
  • What are the trends that will affect the retail market and its segments in the coming years?
  • What are the market’s development forecasts for the coming years?
  • What are the changes in the market share for modern retail?
  • Which are the largest retailers in Ukraine?
  • Which of the world’s largest retailers operate in Ukraine?

Report strengths:

  • the second edition of the report
  • Ukraine retail market data in detail in one report
  • major retail segments covered in the report: grocery, clothing and footwear, consumer electronics, DIY, cosmetics and toiletries
  • detailed profiles of leading retailers in Ukraine – foreign and domestic
  • market development forecasts up to 2013
  • analysis of internet sales
  • additional profiles of new companies which have recently entered the Ukrainian market.

Seize business opportunities with PMR report when:

  • estimating the potential of the Ukrainian market
  • analyzing market threats and opportunities
  • exploring Ukrainian market entry possibilities
  • planning further investments on the Ukraine retail market for those companies already operating in Ukraine
  • preparing a strategic plan for company development
  • estimating market saturation
  • investigating market competition.

This study is a must-read for any professional:

  • management, sales and marketing departments of retail companies, both operating in Ukraine and considering market entry
  • companies providing services for the retail sector (IT, logistics, display and promotional systems and solutions)
  • consulting and research companies
  • commercial real estate developers, investors and contractors
  • chambers of commerce, retail institutions
  • financial sector (banks, investments funds).

Companies mentioned in this report:

Amstor, ATB, Auchan, Avon, Caravan, Comfy, EKO, Eldorado, EpiCentr, Eva, Evrotek, Foxtrot, Fozzy Group, Furshet, Inditex, Kosmo, Maratex, MD Group, Metro Group, Monarch, MTI Group, Nova Linia, OBI, Oriflame, Pakko Holding, Praktiker, Retail Group, REWE Group, Rozetka, Spar International, Technopolis, Ukrainskyi Retail, Velyka Kyshenia, Watsons.

Extract from this report

  • According to our estimates, sales of food in Ukraine accounted for 45.1% of total retail sales value in 2010. Because of the negative economic trend in 2009 and 2010, there was an increase in food sales, as non-food purchases were postponed. Non-food items account for more than a half of total retail sales (54.9%).
  • Modern formats continue to increase their share in the total grocery retail turnover and in 2010 they managed to reach 33.1% of the market compared to 30.7% in 2009. Supermarkets contributed the most to the growing market share of retail chains. In 2010, they accounted for 15.9% of the whole grocery market.
  • Online consumer electronics stores (with 2.3% shares in the market) are becoming more popular among Ukrainians. The market is highly fragmented, as there are many small online stores, mostly in large cities.

Market commentary by expert

In 2010, the Ukrainian retail trade market increased by 21.9%. In contrast to the earlier contraction, the rise is an indication of recovery. However, even this double-figure increase is still small in comparison with the period 2004-2008, when the annual rate ranged from 32.8% to 50%. According to our estimates, the retail market will expand by 22.5% in 2011. In the next two years, the growth rate will be lower because of the sluggish global economy, the saturation of some local markets and also the end of the major investments associated with Euro 2012.

Katarzyna Twardzik, Retail market Analyst

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  1. Methodology p. 9

  2. Executive summary p. 13

  3. Economic and demographic overview p. 21

    • Macroeconomic overview p. 21
    • Demographic overview p. 29
  4. Retail market overview p. 33

    • Market size p. 33
    • Breakdown of retail sales p. 34
    • Retail network p. 36
    • Geography of retail p. 38
    • Obstacles to the development of modern retail p. 40
    • Leading retailers p. 40
    • Activity of foreign retailers p. 42
    • Shopping centre development p. 43
    • Internet and direct sales p. 44
    • Market news, 2010-2011 p. 47
  5. Grocery retail market p. 49

    • Grocery market overview p. 49
    • Overview of individual distribution channels p. 53
      • Supermarkets p. 53
        • Overview p. 53
        • Profiles of key players p. 55
        • Silpo p. 55
        • Furshet p. 57
        • EKO-market p. 58
        • Velyka Kyshenia p. 60
        • Billa p. 62
      • Discounters p. 63
        • Overview p. 63
        • Profiles of key players p. 64
        • ATB p. 64
        • Fora p. 67
        • Brusnitsya/Brusnichka p. 68
      • Cash and carry stores p. 70
        • Overview p. 70
        • Profiles of key players p. 71
        • Metro Cash & Carry p. 71
        • Fozzy C&C p. 73
        • Pakko p. 74
      • Hypermarkets p. 75
        • Overview p. 75
        • Profiles of key players p. 77
        • Auchan p. 77
        • Amstor p. 78
        • Caravan p. 80
      • Small stores, including convenience store format p. 81
        • Overview p. 81
        • Profiles of key players p. 82
        • Vopak p. 82
        • Nash Kraj p. 84
        • Obzhora (Odesa) p. 86
  6. Non-food retail market p. 87

    • Non-food market overview p. 87
    • Clothing and footwear market p. 89
      • Overview p. 89
      • Profiles of key players p. 92
      • MTI Group p. 92
      • MD Group p. 93
      • Argo p. 94
      • Inditex p. 96
      • Monarch p. 97
      • Maratex p. 98
    • DIY market p. 99
      • Overview p. 99
      • Profiles of key players p. 104
        • EpiCentr p. 104
        • Nova Linia p. 106
        • OLDI p. 108
        • OBI p. 109
        • Praktiker p. 111
    • Consumer electronics market p. 112
      • Overview p. 112
      • Profiles of key players p. 117
        • Foxtrot Group p. 117
        • Comfy p. 120
        • Eldorado p. 121
        • Technopolis p. 122
        • Blue Mare p. 124
        • Rozetka p. 125
    • Cosmetics and toiletries market p. 126
      • Overview p. 126
      • Profiles of key players p. 129
        • Oriflame p. 129
        • Avon p. 130
        • Watsons p. 131
        • Kosmo p. 132
        • Eva p. 134
        • Brocard p. 136
        • ProStor p. 137
  7. List of graphs p. 139

  8. List of tables p. 141

  9. About PMR p. 145

  10. Contact PMR p. 146

List of graphs

  1. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of retail sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  2. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%) of grocery retail sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  3. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of non-food sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  4. Ukraine
  5. GDP real change in Ukraine (%, y-o-y), 2007-2013
  6. GDP per capita in PPS in Ukraine and selected European countries ($), 2010
  7. Average annual consumer price indices in Ukraine (%), 2007-2013
  8. Monthly consumer prices index by selected items (%, y-o-y), Jan 2009-Oct 2011
  9. Annual unemployment rate in Ukraine (%), 2007-2013
  10. Number of employees in retail trade in Ukraine (‘000), 2007-2013
  11. Net monthly wages (RON) and annual change (%) in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  12. Average gross monthly earning in the total economy and in trade in Ukraine (UAH), Jan 2009-Sep 2011
  13. Income structure of a Ukrainian family by source of income, 2010
  14. Structure of current consumption in Ukraine by type of spending (%), 2010
  15. Population in Ukraine (millions), 2007-2013
  16. Occupation rate of population by age in Ukraine (%), 2010
  17. Population in Ukraine by age group (%), 2010
  18. Urban and rural population in Ukraine (%), 2004-2010
  19. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of retail sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  20. Growth of food and non-food retail sales in Ukraine (%), 2007-2013
  21. Food and non-food retail sales in Ukraine (%), 2007-2013
  22. Structure of food retail sales in Ukraine by category (%), 2010
  23. Structure of non-food retail sales in Ukraine by category (%), 2010
  24. Number of open-air markets in Ukraine, 2003-2010
  25. Number of retail stores and floor space (‘000 m2) in Ukraine, 2003-2010
  26. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of direct sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  27. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of internet sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  28. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of grocery retail sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  29. Structure of grocery market in Ukraine, shares by value (%), 2007-2010
  30. Structure of the grocery retail market in Ukraine, shares by value (%), 2009
  31. Structure of the grocery retail market in Ukraine, shares by value (%), 2010
  32. Supermarket’s sales in Ukraine (%), 2010
  33. Discounters’ sales in Ukraine, by retail chain (%), 2010
  34. Cash and carry stores’ sales in Ukraine, by retail chain (%), 2010
  35. Hypermarkets’ sales in Ukraine, by retail chain (%), 2010
  36. Convenience stores’ sales in Ukraine, by retail chain (%), 2010
  37. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of non-food sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  38. Retail sales of selected categories of non-food goods in Ukraine (UAH bn), 2007-2013
  39. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of clothing and footwear sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  40. Structure of clothing and footwear sales in Ukraine (%), 2010
  41. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of DIY sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  42. Mortgage loans granted to households in Ukraine, total and in local currency (UAH bn), Aug 2008-Aug 2011
  43. Residential buildings put into service in Ukraine (‘000), 2003-2010
  44. Structure of DIY sales in Ukraine (%), 2010
  45. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of consumer electronics sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  46. Availability of selected durable goods in households in Ukraine, 2000, 2005, 2008, 2010
  47. Retail sales of selected durables in Ukraine (‘000), 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005-2010
  48. Structure of consumer electronics sales in Ukraine (%), 2010
  49. Value (UAH bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of cosmetics and toiletries sales in Ukraine, 2007-2013
  50. Structure of cosmetics and toiletries sales in Ukraine (%), 2010

List of tables

  1. Average exchange rates $/UAH, 2005-November 2011
  2. Selected economic indices for Ukraine (%), 2009-2011
  3. Largest retail market players in Ukraine, by sales revenue, 2010
  4. Leading grocery retail chains in Ukraine, by distribution channel, 2010
  5. Basic macro-economic profile for Ukraine, 2007-2011
  6. Cities over 250,000 residents in Ukraine, 2010
  7. Retail trade turnover in Ukraine by regions, 2010
  8. 5 largest regions in Ukraine by shares of total retail trade turnover (%), 2005-2010
  9. Number of supermarkets and hypermarkets and shares of top 5 regions in Ukraine, 2010
  10. Largest retail market players in Ukraine, by sales revenue, 2010
  11. Largest shopping centres in Ukraine by GLA, 2011
  12. Key retail property projects to be delivered in Ukraine in 2011-2012
  13. Market news, 2010-2011
  14. Largest grocery retailers in Ukraine, by sales revenue, 2010
  15. Largest retail chains in the supermarket format in Ukraine, by sales value, 2010
  16. Key data for Silpo
  17. Development of the Silpo grocery retail chain, 2003-2010
  18. Silpo store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  19. Key data for Furshet
  20. Furshet store count in Ukraine and Moldova, October 2011
  21. Key data for EKO-market
  22. Development of the EKO-market grocery retail chain, 2006-2010
  23. EKO-market store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  24. Key data for Velyka Kyshenia
  25. Development of the Velyka Kyshenia grocery retail chain in Ukraine, 2004-2010
  26. Velyka Kyshenia store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  27. Key data for Billa
  28. Development of the Billa grocery retail chain in Ukraine, 2003-2010
  29. Billa store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  30. Largest retail chains on the discounter market in Ukraine, by sales value, 2010
  31. Key data for ATB
  32. Development of the ATB grocery retail chain, 2003-2010
  33. ATB store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  34. Key data for Fora
  35. Development of the Fora grocery retail chain, 2003-2010
  36. Fora store count* in Ukraine, October 2011
  37. Key data for Brusnitsya
  38. Development of the Brusnitsya/Brusnichka grocery retail chain, 2007-2010
  39. Brusnitsya/Brusnichka store count* in Ukraine, October 2011
  40. Largest retail chains on the cash and carry market in Ukraine, by sales value, 2010
  41. Key data for Metro Cash & Carry
  42. Development of the Metro Cash & Carry grocery retail chain, 2003-2010
  43. Metro Cash & Carry store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  44. Key data for Fozzy C&C
  45. Distribution of Fozzy C&C stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  46. Key data for Pakko
  47. Development of Pakko retail chain, 2003-2010
  48. Pakko store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  49. Largest retail chains in the hypermarket format in Ukraine, by sales value, 2010
  50. Key data for Auchan
  51. Auchan store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  52. Key data for Amstor
  53. Amstor store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  54. Key data for Caravan
  55. Development of the Caravan Trade House retail chain, 2006-2010
  56. Caravan store count in Ukraine, October 2011
  57. Largest retail chains on the convenience store market in Ukraine, by sales value, 2010
  58. Key data for Vopak
  59. Development of the Vopak grocery retail chain, 2004-2010
  60. Key data for Nash Kraj
  61. Development of Nash Kraj grocery retail chain, 2005-2010
  62. Nash Kraj store count in Ukraine by formats, October 2011
  63. Key data for Obzhora
  64. Selected retailers involved in clothing and footwear trade in Ukraine, 2010
  65. Key data for MTI Group
  66. Distribution of MTI Group stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  67. Key data for MD Group
  68. Distribution of MD Group monobrand outlets in Ukraine, October 2011
  69. Key data for Argo
  70. Distribution of Argo stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  71. Key data for Inditex
  72. Key data for Monarch
  73. Distribution of Monarch stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  74. Key data for Maratex
  75. Housing stock in Ukraine (%), 2010
  76. Leading DIY brand names in Ukrainian cities with populations in excess of 00,000, October 2011
  77. Largest DIY retail chains in Ukraine, by sales revenue (UAH m) and store count, 2010
  78. Key data for EpiCentr
  79. Development of the EpiCentr DIY retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  80. Distribution of EpiCentr stores in Ukraine by sales area per store, October 2011
  81. Distribution of EpiCentr stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  82. Key data for Nova Linia
  83. Development of the Nova Linia DIY retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  84. Distribution of Nova Linia stores in Ukraine by sales area per store, October 2011
  85. Distribution of Nova Linia stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  86. Key data for OLDI
  87. Development of the OLDI retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  88. Distribution of OLDI stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  89. Key data for OBI
  90. Development of the OBI retail chain in Ukraine, 2008-2010
  91. Distribution of OBI stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  92. Key data for Praktiker
  93. Development of the Praktiker retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  94. Distribution of Praktiker stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  95. Largest consumer electronics retail chains in Ukraine, by sales revenue (UAH m) and store count, 2010
  96. Key data for Foxtrot Group
  97. Distribution of Foxtrot stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  98. Key data for Comfy
  99. Distribution of Comfy stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  100. Key data for Eldorado
  101. Key data for Technopolis
  102. Distribution of Technopolis stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  103. Key data for Blue Mare Ukraine
  104. Distribution of consumer electronics stores managed by Blue Mare in Ukraine, October 2011
  105. Key data for Rozetka
  106. Ukraine’s imports of perfume, cosmetics and toiletries by major partners, 2007-2010
  107. Largest cosmetics and toiletries retail chains in Ukraine, by sales revenue (UAH m) and store count, 2010
  108. Key data for Oriflame
  109. Key data for Avon
  110. Key data for Watsons
  111. Development of the Watsons retail chain in Ukraine, 2008-2010
  112. Distribution of Watsons outlets in Ukraine, October 2011
  113. Key data for Kosmo
  114. Development of the Kosmo retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  115. Distribution of Kosmo stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  116. Key data for Eva
  117. Development of the Eva retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  118. Distribution of Eva stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  119. Key data for Brocard
  120. Development of the Brocard retail chain in Ukraine, 2008-2010
  121. Distribution of Brocard stores in Ukraine, October 2011
  122. Key data for ProStor
  123. Development of the ProStor retail chain in Ukraine, 2007-2010
  124. Distribution of ProStor stores in Ukraine, October 2011
Retail in Ukraine 2012
Market analysis and development forecasts up to 2013

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