Residential construction market in Central Europe 2015 Development forecasts for 2015-2020
  • Date of issue: July 2015
  • Pages: 126
  • Delivery: Pdf file

Residential construction market in Central Europe 2015

Development forecasts for 2015-2020

This report delves deeply into the market for residential construction across Central Europe and diverse markets in Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia. It supplies data on housing starts; permit issuances and values of recently completed output, as well as descriptions of market value and structure for single-unit development ventures as well as multi-family units. The publication also includes data on planned projects and forecasts for market development during 2015-2020.

 

This report includes key categories of market information…

  • Activity in the single family housing construction sector – explore market demand, prices and plans for the future in each country
  • Multi unit construction prospects – conditions and forecasts for multi-family housing projects in each country
  • Value of the overall residential construction sector in Central Europe and of each segment – for the countries of Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia
  • Regulations – check legal developments that stand to affect residential construction activity in the near future
  • Mortgage market details for each country
  • Apartment price trends and predictions for markets in each country
  • Market influences – including major events, trends and other factors expected to impact future growth
  • Building permit data for residential construction projects in each country, as well as total residential units started and ready for occupancy.

 

Get answers to a diverse range of questions about this market…

  • What is the structure of the Central European residential construction market? Of each of the six countries included in this report?
  • In which types of residential construction projects have developers expressed the most interest?
  • What is the comprehensive value of the Central European residential construction sector?
  • What are the separate values of the single unit and multi-family housing segments of this market?
  • What are the overall and segmental values of residential construction in each country (Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia)?
  • How quickly are markets in each of these countries expected to expand?
  • What are the expectations for regional mortgage markets during the period 2015-2020?
  • How many housing units are scheduled for completion by 2020 in each segment?
  • What is the total number of building permits issued on this market?
  • Which are the largest and most valuable residential construction projects in each country?

 

This report is tailored to assist…

  • Manufacturers of building materials utilised in this sector
  • Producers of construction machinery for CE markets
  • Project management and design firms
  • Government agencies and embassies
  • Banking and investment institutions
  • Organizations that promote trades and commerce
  • Business consultants and analysts
  • Business research professionals
  • New companies on the residential construction markets in Central Europe
  • Companies planning to expand into the residential construction markets in Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia.

Sample data from the report...

  • An important factor affecting the development of the Bulgarian residential construction market is foreign homebuyers, whose effect on price levels in the coastal cities such as Varna and Burgas is evident and should increase further.
  • A number of major residential schemes were completed and new construction projects were announced or started in 2014 and early 2015, heralding a slow, but firm, recovery on the Czech market.
  • The total number of housing units in Romania expanded to 8.8 million by the end of 2013. This number is estimated to have reached 8.44 million in 2014.
  • The banks in Poland advanced 174,087 home loans totalling PLN 36.8bn (€8.8bn) in 2014. This is an increase of almost 1% in value and a fall of 1.6% in the number of home loans year on year.
  • The average price of a new flat in Prague rose in 2014 by approximately CZK 250,000 (€9,260) year on year, according to data from the largest residential developers in Prague.
 

Companies mentioned in the report...

AFI Europe, Arteks Engieering, Atal, Atlas Estates, Avestus Property, BCD Group, Bouygues Immobilier, Budimex Nieruchomosci, Central Group, Cresco, CTR Group, D&B Real Estate Group, Dolcan, Dom Development, Doprastav Beta, Ecohouse, Ekospol, Epito Simon, Fairplay Properties, Finep, Garanti Koza, Hochtief Development Poland, Horizon Holding, Immochan, Immofinanz, Inpro, J&T Real Estate, JHM Development, JW. Construction, Kape Premium Imobiliare, Leskovo Dva, Lucron Development, Marvipol, Metrodom Investment, Metropolitan City, Metrostav Development, Mota-Engil, Murapol, Nanette, Nickel, Nobelova Invest, Okam, Opera SL Group, OTP Ingatlan, Palmer Capital CEE, Penta Investments, Polnord, PPF Real Estate, PSJ Invest, Red Sea Group, Robyg, Ronson, Sekyra Group, SGI, Skanska Reality, Turret Development, Unidevelopment, Vantage Development, VAV Invest, Vía Célere, YIT
 

Extract from this report

  • After six years of decline, the number of building permits issued for residences in Hungary in 2014 rose significantly, close to 30% year on year. The size of the useful floor area in homes for which a building permit was held last year also rose considerably in 2014, exceeding 1 million m².
  • We expect residential construction output in Poland to stabilise at about PLN 14bn (€3.3bn) in the following years, though the actual performance of the segment will depend on the efficiency of the state’s tools aimed to support the residential development market.
 

Market commentary by expert

"The medium-term prospects for the Central European residential construction market are good, with a more positive outlook for long-term developments. The stabilisation of the market in terms of housing prices seems eventually to have been completed in 2014. In late 2014 and early 2015 many new projects were restarted or commenced. This is a trend which is expected to continue in 2015, particularly with the revival of previously frozen projects."

Bartłomiej Sosna, Head Construction Market Analyst

 

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  • Methodology
  • Executive summary
  • Bulgaria
    • Housing stock
    • Building and dwelling completions
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Major projects
    • Residential construction development programmes
    • Housing prices
    • Mortgage market
    • Investment of individuals
    • Development forecasts for 2015-2020
  • The Czech Republic
    • Housing stock
    • Building and residence completions
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Major projects
    • Residential construction development programmes
    • Housing prices
    • Mortgage market
    • Investment of individuals
    • Development forecasts for 2015-2020
  • Hungary
    • Housing stock
    • Completed buildings and residences
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Major projects
    • Residential construction development programmes
    • Housing prices
    • Mortgage market
    • Investment of individuals
    • Development forecasts for 2015-2020
  • Poland
    • Latest trends
    • Housing stock
    • Buildings and flats delivered for use
    • Building permits and housing starts
    • Key projects
    • State-funded housing schemes
      • Recommendations for banks
      • Changes to the Flat for Young People scheme
      • Social housing assistance scheme
      • Building societies
      • Energy-efficient construction
      • Fund for homes for rental
    • Housing prices
    • Home loans
    • Plans of individual investors
    • Development forecast for residential construction in 2015-2020
  • Romania
    • Housing stock
    • Building and dwelling completion
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Overview of major residential projects
    • Residential construction development programmes
    • Housing prices
    • Mortgage market
    • Investment by individuals
    • Development forecasts for 2014-2020
  • Slovakia
    • Housing stock
    • Building and dwelling completions
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Major projects
    • Residential construction development programmes
    • Housing prices
    • Mortgage market
    • Investment of individuals
    • Development forecasts for 2015-2020

Graphs

  • Value (BGN bn, current prices) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Bulgaria, 2010-2020
  • Value (CZK bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in the Czech Republic, 2010-2020
  • Value (HUF bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Hungary, 2010-2020
  • Construction and assembly output (PLN bn) and output change (%) in residential construction in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Value (RON bn) and real change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Romania, 2011-2020
  • Value (€ bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Slovakia, 2010-2020
  • Annual growth rate of mortgage loans in Bulgaria (%, y-o-y), 2007-2014
  • Balance of intention to carry out home improvements within the next 12 months in Bulgaria, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of intention to purchase or build a home over the next 12 months in Bulgaria, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Number and change (%, y-o-y) of housing completions in Bulgaria, 2010-2020
  • Value (BGN bn, current prices) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Bulgaria, 2010-2020
  • Housing stock in the Czech Republic, by region, 2011
  • SFRB spending in the Czech Republic (CZK bn), 2013-2017
  • Sale of new flats in Prague, 2007-2014
  • Value of mortgages (CZK bn) and average interest rate (%) in the Czech Republic, 2003-2014
  • Balance of intention to carry out home improvements within the next 12 months in the Czech Republic, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of intention to purchase or build a home within the next 12 months in the Czech Republic, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Value (CZK bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in the Czech Republic, 2010-2020
  • Number and change (%, y-o-y) of housing completions in the Czech Republic, 2010-2020
  • Number of residences completed in Hungary and change (%), 2007-2014
  • Average floor area of residences built in Hungary (m²), 2007-2014
  • Residences price index in Hungary (%, y-o-y), 2007-Q3 2014
  • Value (HUF bn) and number (‘000) of mortgage loans in Hungary, 2007-2014
  • Balance of intention to carry out home improvements within the next twelve months in Hungary, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of intention to purchase or build a home within the next twelve months in Hungary, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Value (HUF bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Hungary, 2010-2020
  • Number and change (%, y-o-y) of housing completions in Hungary, 2010-2020
  • Share of residential construction works in construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2005-2014
  • Residential construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building (%), 2010-2014
  • Housing stock (million units) and housing stock change (%) in Poland, 2005-2014
  • Housing starts and homes for which building permits were issued in Poland (‘000), 2005-2014
  • Housing starts and flats for which building permits were issued in individual construction in Poland (‘000), 2007-2014
  • Housing starts and flats for which building permits were issued in the developer construction sector in Poland (‘000), 2007-2014
  • Number of applications for additional funding for construction of energy-efficient houses in Poland, January 2014-March 2015
  • Average annual asking prices and selling prices of new housing projects conducted by developers in the six largest Polish cities (PLN/m²), 2008-2014
  • Prices of materials used in the construction of a typical detached house in Poland (PLN) and change (%, y-o-y), 2004-2014
  • Number (‘000) and value (PLN bn) of new mortgage loans in Poland, 2005-2015
  • Average interest rates and average margins on mortgage loans in Poland (%), 2012-2014
  • Structure of loans in Poland, by city (%), 2014
  • Balance of investors intending to renovate a house or flat in the next 12 months in Poland, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of investors intending to buy or build a house in the next 12 months in Poland, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Construction and assembly output (PLN bn) and output change (%) in residential construction in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Housing completions (‘000) and change in housing completions (%, y-o-y) in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Distribution of dwelling stock in Romania ('000), by year of completion, 2011
  • Number of homes completed in Romania and change (%, y-o-y), 2006-2014
  • Average living area of dwellings completed in Romania (m²), by rural and urban area, 2006-2013
  • Number of building permits for residential buildings in Romania, by rural and urban area, 2007-2014
  • Distribution of Prima Casa mortgages granted to population in Romania (%), by region, 2009-2014
  • Loans granted within the Prima Casa programme in Romania (%), by size of dwellings, 2009-2014
  • Loans granted within the Prima Casa programme in Romania (%), by value of loan, 2009-2014
  • Prima Casa Governmental Programme in Romania, number and value (€ m) of awarded warranties, 2009-2015
  • Loans granted within the Prima Casa programme in Romania (%), by type of dwelling, 2009-2014
  • Number of dwellings for rental purposes built by the National Housing Agency in Romania, 2006-2014
  • Housing prices on primary market in Romania (€/m²), by largest cities, June 2008-February 2015
  • Housing prices on secondary market in Romania (€/m²), by largest cities, June 2008- February 2015
  • Value of outstanding residential loans in Romania (RON m, e-o-p), 2006-2014
  • Balance of intention to carry out home improvements within the next 12 months in Romania, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of intention to purchase or build a home within the next two years in Romania, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Average real wage growth in Romania (%, y-o-y), 2005-2014
  • Value (RON bn) and real change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Romania, 2011-2020
  • Number of building permits for residential buildings in Slovakia and change (%, y-o-y), 2006-2014
  • Budget of the State Fund for Housing Development in Slovakia (€ m), 2009-2015
  • Slovak mortgage market (€ m), 2009-2014
  • Balance of intention to carry out home improvements within the next 12 months in Slovakia, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Balance of intention to purchase or build a home within the next 12 months in Slovakia, Q1 2008-Q1 2015
  • Value (€ bn) and change (%, y-o-y) of residential construction output in Slovakia, 2010-2020
  • Number and change (%, y-o-y) of housing completions in Slovakia, 2010-2020

Tables

  • Housing stock in Bulgaria, by rural/urban areas, 2007-2014
  • Useful floor area of housing stock in Bulgaria, by rural/urban areas (m²), 2007-2014
  • Number of buildings and dwellings completed in Bulgaria, 2007-2014
  • Number of buildings completed in Bulgaria, by major city, 2008-2014
  • Number of building permits issued in Bulgaria, by major city, 2007-2014
  • Number of buildings and dwellings commenced in Bulgaria, 2010-2014
  • Number of buildings commenced in Bulgaria, by major city, 2010-2014
  • Major residential projects planned in Bulgaria, 2015-2017
  • Average prices of flats in major cities of Bulgaria (BGN), 2001-2014
  • Mortgage loans development in Bulgaria (e-o-p), 2009-2014
  • Housing stock in the Czech Republic, by form of ownership, 2001 and 2011-2014
  • Housing stock in the Czech Republic, by rural/urban areas, 2011
  • Number of completed residences in the Czech Republic, by category of residence, 2007-2014
  • Number of residences completed in the Czech Republic, by region, 2007-2014
  • Building permits for residential buildings in the Czech Republic, by floor area, 2007-2014
  • Building permits for residential buildings in the Czech Republic, by number and value, 2007-2014
  • Number of residences started in the Czech Republic, by category of building, 2007-2014
  • Major planned residential projects in the Czech Republic, 2015-2025
  • Funding applications in New Green Savings programme, breakdown by regions, 2014
  • Housing stock in Hungary (beginning of the year), 2007-2014
  • Homes built in Hungary, by category of investor, 2007-2014
  • Number of residences completed in Hungary, by type of building, 2013-2014
  • Number of residences completed in Hungary, by region, 2007-2014
  • Number of residences completed in Hungary, by purpose, 2012-2014
  • Number of building permits issued in the residential sector in Hungary, 2007-2014
  • Number of building permits issued in the residential industry in Hungary, by region, 2012-2014
  • Major residential projects planned in Hungary, 2015-2016
  • Average price of residential space in Hungary, by region (HUF ‘000/m²), 2011-2014
  • Value of mortgage lending in Hungary (HUF bn), by purpose, 2008-2014
  • Residential construction, according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction
  • Housing completions in Poland, by type of building, 2007-2014
  • Average floor area of flats completed in Poland (m²), 2007-2014
  • Change in housing completions in Poland (%, y-o-y), 2007-2014
  • Flats for which building permits were issued in Poland, 2011-2014
  • Housing starts in Poland, 2011-2014
  • Number of dwellings sold by leading developers in Poland, 2013-2014
  • Major residential development projects planned in Poland, 2015-2020
  • Proportion of transactions qualifying for price limits in the Flat for Young People scheme in Poland, Q4 2014
  • Number of loans advanced under the Flat for Young People scheme, by voivodship (%), 2014
  • Developers whose projects have been approved for the energy-efficient construction scheme, 2014
  • Changes to requirements for insulation thickness in Poland, 2014-2021
  • Housing stock in Romania (number of dwellings), by rural and urban area, 2006-2014
  • Average area, number of rooms of dwellings and average size of rooms in Romania, 2007-2014
  • Distribution of residential buildings in Romania, by type of building material, 2011
  • Number of dwellings completed in Romania, by financing source, 2006-2014
  • Number of dwellings completed in Romania, by rural and urban area, 2006-2014
  • Number of dwellings completed in Romania, by region, 2007-2014
  • Number of dwellings completed in Romania per million inhabitants, by region, 2009-2014
  • Number of dwellings completed in Romania, by number of rooms, 2007-2013
  • Building permits for residential buildings in Romania, by number and total area, 2007-2014
  • Number of permits for residential buildings in Romania, by type of building, 2007-2014
  • Total space of residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Romania, by rural and urban area (%), 2007-2014
  • Building permits for residential buildings in Romania, by region, 2007-2014
  • Large residential projects in Romania, 2015-2019
  • Total number of inhabited dwellings in Slovakia, 2013
  • Number of completed dwellings and those under construction in Slovakia, 2006-2014
  • Number of completed dwellings and those under construction in Slovakia, by region, 2009-2013
  • Number of building permits in Slovakia, breakdown by region, 2009-2013
  • Major residential complexes planned in Slovakia, 2015-2020
  • Planned breakdown of SFRB expenditure (€ m), 2014
  • Average price of residential property in Slovakia (€/m²), 2006-2014
  • Unsold new flats in Bratislava, breakdown by neighbourhoods, end of 2014