Construction sector in Poland H2 2014

Development forecasts for 2014-2020

View the construction market in Poland from the perspective of construction professionals interviewed specifically for this report, which features feedback gleaned from 200 businesses currently participating in the residential, non-residential and civil engineering segments of the market.

 

This innovative document presents the latest wage, employment and financial subsidy data along with forecasts for new residential construction and outlooks for new industrial, commercial and office and retail space during the period from 2014-2020.

 

Study key aspects of the market from a unique perspective…

  • Examine overall market performance and review data on specific projects in major segments – residential, non-residential and civil engineering
  • Review plans for upcoming residential construction ventures
  • Learn the latest on key issues such as employment, wages and cement manufacturing, EU subsidies and contractor census
  • View Polish construction through the experience of 200 contractors, their revenues and projects.

 

Benefit from answers to questions like these…

  • How much is today’s Polish construction industry worth?
  • How many construction permits will be issued in the months ahead?
  • What regulatory changes are expected in the Polish construction sector in the near future?
  • Will construction costs change significantly in the next few years? If so, how?
  • Which construction companies are leading the Polish market in terms of size and revenue?
  • How many new residential dwellings will be built by 2020?
  • Which type of non-residential construction is most in demand and demonstrates the best prospects for growth?

 

Did you know that...

  • Railway construction, which is a segment of civil engineering construction, is currently the fastest-growing construction market in Poland. In the first half of the year, construction and assembly output rose by more than 53% over the corresponding period of the previous year.
  • The number and value of permits for projects in the Special Economic Zones that were granted in H1 2014 is nearly three-and-a-half times as much as the 2013 total.
  • Urban agglomerations account for about 65% of the market of flats in Poland. Trends observed in these markets indicate that transaction prices of flats are on the downward slide, though the pace of decline has eased significantly.
  • Net sales margin for the construction segment as a whole recovered from a negative level recorded in 2012 to just less than 1% in 2013.
  • The Slaskie, Malopolskie and Wielkopolskie voivodships expect to receive the highest volumes of financing within the framework of Regional Operational Programmes in the 2014-2020 period. The funds represent some 28% of all funds allocated to regions cross Poland.
  • Power, road and railway construction are expected to be the most promising construction segments, according to the results of a survey of 200 top contractors.

 

Use this report to…

  • Launch a new construction business on this market
  • Expand current business to include new market segments
  • Effect a merger or an acquisition on this market
  • Determine corporate market share
  • Locate potential investments
  • Assess demand for building materials and machinery
  • Perform competition research.
     

Especially suited to the business information needs of…

  • Construction contractors active on the Polish market
  • Building materials and machinery manufacturers and distributors
  • Financial services and investment consultants
  • Project design and management professionals
  • Organizations tasked with promotion of Poland’s construction sector.

 

Extract from this report

  • Regarding prices, the year 2013 was the first year to record a decline after three years marked by a stabilisation when the market growth rate was +/- 1% year on year. Prices of construction and assembly output are expected to continue to fall, by 1.5%, throughout 2014. However, this year is expected to be the last year of declines – construction and assembly output prices are projected to remain flat in the next 12 month, and slight increases are also possible.
  • 2014 has seen the implementation of a new initiative, designated the Family for Young People Scheme, providing support to home buyers in purchasing flats. However, the scheme is not as popular as it was expected to be. A mere 7,500 loans were granted within the framework of the scheme in the first seven months of the scheme’s operation and, apparently, about 30% of funds available for this year have been used. 

 

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  • Methodology
    • Overview
    • Construction and assembly output
    • Projected construction and assembly output
    • Methodology of the survey conducted for the purpose of the report
    • Changes introduced to the 2014 report
    • Abbreviations used in the report
  • Executive summary
    • General situation
    • Results of the survey of the top 200 largest construction companies in Poland
    • Outlook for the construction industry in Poland
    • Outook for civil engineering construction
    • Outlook for non-residential construction
    • Outlook for residential construction
    • Competitive environment
  • Polish construction overview
    • Construction market value
    • Construction and assembly output
    • Construction companies – number and type
    • Employment and wages in construction
    • Construction prices and financial standing of construction companies
    • Business confidence in construction
    • Cement output
    • Legal changes relevant to the construction market
      • New Building Code
      • Amendment to the building law
      • Act on transmission corridors
      • Act amending the public procurement law
      • Act on Fuel Reserves and Terminals
      • Special act on roads
      • Act on renewable energy sources
      • UE Funds for 2014-2020
    • Macroeconomic overview
      • 2013 overview
      • Outlook for 2014
      • Medium-term outlook for 2015-2019
    • Development forecast for construction and assembly output in 2014-2020
  • Results of the survey of the 200 largest Polish construction firms
    • Introduction
      • Methodology used to calculate the PMR Construction Confidence Indicator
    • Assessment of the situation of the Polish construction market
      • Construction Confidence Indicator
      • Most attractive segments of the construction market
      • Barriers to doing business
      • Main changes helpful in removing failings within the construction market
      • Payments
      • Factors for success in doing business
      • Investment projects funded within the framework of the EU’s 2014-2020 budget
      • Strategies for addressing the crisis
      • Projections for prices and projects
      • Strategies for achieving a competitive advantage
      • Leading brands of plant and equipment used by major contractors
      • Projects co-financed by the European Union
      • Competitive environment
    • Overview and market standing of the largest Polish construction firms
      • Structure of construction companies
      • Subcontractor selection criteria
      • Performance of loss-making contracts and contracts priced below the investor’s cost estimate
      • Financial situation of the surveyed construction companies
  • Civil engineering construction
    • Situation in the civil engineering construction market
    • Environmental protection-related projects
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Road transport
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Railway transport
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Hydrotechnical installations
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Gross fixed capital formation in the heavy industry
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Development forecast for civil engineering construction in 2014-2020
  • Non-residential construction
    • Situation in the non-residential construction market
    • Industrial and warehouse construction
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Retail and service construction
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Office construction
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Hotel construction
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Public building construction
      • Latest trends
      • Key projects
      • Forecasts for 2014-2020
    • Development forecast for non-residential construction in 2014-2020
  • Residential construction
    • Latest trends
    • Housing stock
    • Buildings and flats completed
    • Building permits and housing starts
    • Key projects
    • State-funded housing schemes
      • Recommendations for banks
      • Flat for Young People scheme
      • Energy-efficient construction
      • Fund for homes for rental
    • Housing prices
    • Home loans
    • Plans of individual investors
    • Development forecast for residential construction in 2014-2020
  • Competitive environment
    • Market competition
    • Mergers and acquisitions
    • Financial standing of companies
    • Major contractors
    • Major manufacturers of building materials

Graphs

  • Change in cement production and consumption in Poland (%), 2007-2014
  • Assessment of the current situation in the Polish construction industry (%), Q3 2014
  • Distribution of funds under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme in Poland for 2007-2013 (€ m, %)
  • Planned distribution of funds under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme in Poland for 2014-2020 (€ m, %)
  • Number of approved applications for subsidised home loans in Poland (Flat for Young People scheme), January-July 2014
  • Use of production capacity of construction companies in Poland, as assessed by contractors, 2008-July 2014
  • Value (PLN bn) and growth (%, y-o-y) of the construction market in Poland, 2005-2014
  • Nominal change in construction and assembly output in Poland (%, y-o-y), January 2011-June 2014
  • Structure of construction and assembly output in Poland, by segment (%), 2008-2014
  • Assessment of timely payment patterns in the construction industry in Poland, by company size, 2007-June 2014
  • Employment in the construction industry in Poland (‘000) and employment change (%, y-o-y) in Poland, 2007-2014
  • Employment changes in construction companies in Poland, 2008-July 2014
  • Average gross monthly salary in the construction sector in Poland (‘000) and salary change (%, y-o-y) in Poland, 2007-2014
  • Construction price changes in Poland (%, y-o-y), 2007-2014
  • Net sales margin in industry and construction in Poland (%), 2007-H1 2014
  • Cost-to-revenue ratio in industry and construction in Poland (%), 2007-H1 2014
  • Construction climate indicator in Poland, January 2011-July 2014
  • Change in cement production and consumption in Poland (%), 2007-2014
  • Distribution of funds under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme in Poland for 2007-2013 (€ m, %)
  • Planned distribution of funds under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme in Poland for 2014-2020 (€ m, %)
  • Value (PLN bn) and growth (%) of total construction and assembly output in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Assessment of the current situation in the Polish construction industry (%), Q3 2014
  • Year-on-year assessment of the current situation in the Polish construction industry (%), Q3 2014
  • Assessment of the future situation in the Polish construction industry (%), Q3 2014
  • PMR Construction Confidence Indicator, July 2004-August 2014
  • Value of the PMR Construction Confidence Indicator, by construction market segment in Poland, Q3 2014
  • Most promising segments of the construction market in Poland in the next two years (%), Q3 2014
  • Obstacles to doing business in the construction sector in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Index of key changes to the Public Procurement Law in Poland, Q3 2014
  • Delays in payments in construction companies in Poland as assessed by respondents (%), Q3 2014
  • Issues collecting payments from the investor in respect of costs incurred on additional work in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Average outstanding amounts for additional work in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Effect of the upcoming investment projects funded from the EU’s 2014-2020 financial framework on the construction industry in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Measures taken or planned by respondents’ companies to address the crisis in the construction sector in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Headcount reductions as a means to combat crisis in the construction sector in Poland (%), March 2010-August 2014
  • Projection for prices of building materials in Poland in 2014 (%), Q3 2014
  • Projection for the number of projects in Poland in the next 12 months (%), Q3 2014
  • Measures taken or planned by respondents’ companies to achieve a competitive advantage in the construction market in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Major brands of construction machinery used by respondents’ companies in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Proportion of companies involved in projects co-financed by the European Union in Poland (%), July 2004-August 2014
  • Proportion of companies concerned about competition from overseas construction companies in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Countries of origin of competitors that respondents are most concerned about in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • How long the practice of competing by pricing bids below the investor’s cost estimates will continue in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Plans of respondents’ companies to raise or reduce prices of their services in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Principal construction segments of the surveyed construction companies in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Net revenue reported by construction companies in 2013 (%), Q3 2014
  • Net profit (loss) reported by the surveyed companies in 2013 (%), Q3 2014
  • Projected financial result as at the end of 2014 (%), Q3 2014
  • Respondent companies’ plans to hire (under employment contracts) in the next 12 months in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Proportion of work subcontracted in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Key criteria used in subcontractor selection in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Performance of loss-making contracts by construction companies in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Measures taken with regard to general contracting in order to execute contracts that are priced below the investor’s cost estimate in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Assessment of the current financial standing of the company (%), Q3 2014
  • Assessment of the current financial standing of the company relative to a year ago (%), Q3 2014
  • Assessment of the company‘s financial standing as at the end of 2014 relative to the end of 2013 (%), Q3 2014
  • Assessment of the current number of orders held by construction companies (%), Q3 2014
  • Change in the number of orders over the same period of 2013 (%), Q3 2014
  • Change in the number of orders in the next 12 months (%), Q3 2014
  • Value structure of construction companies’ backlogs, public projects vs. private projects in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Contribution of civil engineering works to total construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2005-H1 2014
  • Civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland, distribution pipelines and cables (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • GDDKIA’s capital spending (PLN bn) and spending change (%, y-o-y), 2007-2015
  • Number of building permits for road sections and the number of building structures in Poland, 2010-2013
  • Motorways and expressways under construction in Poland (km, e-o-p), 2005-2020
  • Motorways and expressways in use in Poland (km), 2005-2020
  • Construction and assembly output, roads and motorways in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Construction and assembly output, bridges, viaducts and flyovers, tunnels, subways and pedestrian bridges in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Physical and financial progress of projects implemented within the WPIK framework as at the end of 2013, by type of project
  • Number and value (PLN m) of new construction work agreements concluded by PLK S.A., 2012-2013
  • Construction and assembly output, railways in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Number of building permits issued and water engineering structures completed in Poland, 2006-2013
  • Allocation of funds for capital spending on seaports planned in Poland (PLN m, %), 2014-2020
  • Construction and assembly output, water engineering structures in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Value of ongoing and planned power projects in Poland (PLN m, %), 2014-2024
  • PSE’s capital expenditure in Poland (PLN m) and change (%), 2009-2018
  • Structure of PSE’s capital spending (PLN m, %), 2013
  • Structure of PSE’s capital spending (PLN m, %), 2014
  • Distribution operators’ capital spending on electricity networks in Poland (PLN m) and change (%), 2009-2019
  • Structure of Grupa Azoty’s capital outlays (%), 2014-2020
  • Construction and assembly output, complex constructions on industrial sites in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Construction and assembly output, long-distance pipelines, communication and electricity lines in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – non-residential construction, by number of buildings (‘000), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – non-residential construction, by floor area of buildings (million m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Monthly changes in the prices of building halls and storage facilities in Poland (%), 2006-H1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – industrial and warehouse construction, by number of buildings, 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – industrial and warehouse construction, by floor area of buildings (‘000 m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Construction and assembly output, industrial and warehouse buildings in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – retail and service construction, by number of buildings, 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – industrial and warehouse construction, by floor area of buildings (‘000 m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Growth in the number of hypermarkets in Poland, 2010-H1 2014
  • Construction and assembly output, retail and service buildings in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – office construction, by number of buildings, 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – office construction, by floor area of buildings (‘000 m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Construction and assembly output, office buildings in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – hotels and tourist accommodation buildings, by number of buildings, 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – hotels and tourist accommodation buildings, by floor space of buildings (‘000 m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Construction and assembly output, hotels and tourist accommodation buildings in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – public buildings, by number of buildings, 2005-Q1 2014
  • Building permits and projects completed in Poland – public buildings, by floor space of buildings (‘000 m²), 2005-Q1 2014
  • Construction and assembly output, public buildings in Poland (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y), 2010-2020
  • Construction and assembly output (PLN bn) and change (%) in non-residential construction in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Residential construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building (%), 2010-H1 2014
  • Housing stock (million units) and housing stock change (%) in Poland, 2005-2014
  • Growth of the housing market in Poland (%, y-o-y), January 2012-June 2014
  • Housing starts and homes for which building permits were issued in Poland (‘000), 2005-2014
  • Housing starts and homes for which building permits were issued in individual construction in Poland (‘000), 2007-2014
  • Housing starts and homes for which building permits were issued in the developer construction sector in Poland (‘000), 2007-2014
  • Comparison of average transaction prices and prices limits in the Flat for Young People scheme, including variation and proportion of transactions meeting the scheme’s requirements in Poland (%), Q1 and Q2 2014
  • Maximum prices per metre of usable floor area for flats eligible for the Flat for Young People scheme in selected Polish urban agglomerations (PLN), Q3 2014
  • Number of approved applications for subsidised home loans within the framework of the Flat for Young People scheme in Poland, January-July 2014
  • Average asking prices and selling prices of new housing projects conducted by developers in the six largest Polish cities (PLN/m²), June 2008-May 2014
  • Prices of materials used in the construction of a typical detached house in Poland (PLN), May 2004-June 2014
  • Number (‘000) and value (PLN bn) of new mortgage loans in Poland, 2005-2015
  • Average interest rates and average margins on mortgage loans in Poland (%), 2012-H1 2014
  • Structure of home loans in Poland, by city (%), H1 2014
  • Balance of investors intending to renovate a house or flat in the next 12 years in Poland, Q1 2008-Q3 2014
  • Balance of investors intending to buy or build a house in the next 12 months in Poland, Q1 2008-Q3 2014
  • Construction and assembly output (PLN bn) and change (%, y-o-y) in residential construction in Poland, 2005-2020
  • Housing completions (‘000) and change in housing completions (%, y-o-y) in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Net financial result of construction companies in Poland (PLN bn), 2007-H1 2014
  • Number of bankruptcies in the Polish construction industry, 2008-August 2014
  • Use of production capacity of construction companies in Poland, as rated by contractors (%), 2008-July 2014
  • Current and future backlogs of orders, as rated by contractors in Poland, 2008-July 2014

Tables

  • Structure of construction and assembly output in Poland, by segment and voivodship (%), H1 2014
  • Change in the prices of construction and assembly output in Poland (%, y-o-y), by type of structure, 2012-May 2014
  • Factors for success in the construction sector in Poland (%), Q3 2014
  • Diameter and length (km) of the planned gas pipelines, 2018 vs. 2023
  • Number of loans advanced under the Flat for Young People scheme by voivodship (%), January-July 2014
  • Investment projects in the special economic zones in Poland, 2006-H1 2014
  • Main indicators illustrating the condition of the Polish construction industry, 2008-2014
  • Construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building, 2011-H1 2014
  • Number of construction companies in Poland, 2005-2013
  • Allocation of the EU funds under Regional Operational Programmes for 2007-2013 and 2014-2020
  • Projections for the main economic indicators in Poland, 2010-2020
  • Raw average values for questions comprising PMR Construction Confidence Indicator and its percentage change, Q3 2014
  • Average contract margins in 2013-2015 in Poland, as rated by respondents (%), Q3 2014
  • Structure of civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland (%), by type of building, 2010-H1 2014
  • Construction of retail and services buildings according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Construction and upgrade of waste water disposal systems (km) and construction of new waste water treatment plants in Poland, according to the implementation of KPOSK, by voivodship, 2010 and 2015
  • Major environmental protection projects planned in Poland, 2014-2015
  • Road construction according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Major road construction projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Railway construction according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Division of railway projects planned in Poland (%), 2014-2020
  • Major railway construction projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Hydrotechnical construction according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Major water engineering projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Long-distance pipelines, communication and electricity lines, according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Complex constructions on industrial sites, according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Major power projects planned in Poland, 2014-2019
  • Condition of gas infrastructure in Poland, 2014
  • Gas interconnection projects in the analysis phase, 2014
  • Main gas investment projects in Poland in 2014-2018
  • Non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building (%), 2010-H1 2014
  • Construction of industrial and warehouse buildings, according to the Polish Classification of Building Structures (PKOB)
  • Major industrial and warehouse projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Investment projects in the special economic zones in Poland, 2006-H1 2014
  • Construction of retail and services buildings according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Number and floor area of modern shopping centres in the main cities of Poland, Q1 2014
  • Major retail and service projects planned in Poland, 2014-2018
  • PKP’s property development projects, 2014
  • Number of hypermarkets in Poland, 2010-H1 2014
  • Foreign supermarket chains in Poland, 2010-H1 2014
  • Number of discount stores in Poland, 2010-H1 2014
  • Construction of office buildings according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Supply of office space in Poland (‘000 m²), projects under construction and vacancy rate (%), H1 2014
  • Major office projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Construction of hotels according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Location of hotels Poland, H1 2014
  • Most popular foreign hotel chains operating on the Polish hotel market, H1 2014
  • Largest domestic hotel chains, H1 2014
  • Major hotel projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Construction of public buildings according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction (PKOB)
  • Major public construction projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Residential construction, according to the Polish Classification of Types of Construction
  • Housing completions in Poland, by type of building, 2007-H1 2014
  • Average floor area of homes completed in Poland (m²), 2007-H1 2014
  • Change in the number of housing completions in Poland (%, y-o-y), 2007-H1 2014
  • Homes for which building permits were issued in Poland, 2011-H1 2014
  • Housing starts in Poland, 2010-H1 2014
  • Major housing projects planned in Poland, 2014-2020
  • Status of the energy-efficient subsidised housing scheme in Poland, as at July 2014
  • Developers whose projects have been approved for the energy-efficient construction scheme, 2014
  • Changes to requirements for insulation thickness in Poland, 2014-2021
  • Major acquisitions in the building materials market in Poland, 2011-2014
  • Major acquisitions in the construction market in Poland, 2011-2014
  • Largest construction companies offered for sale in Poland, 2014
  • Major bankruptcies in the construction industry in Poland, 2012-2014
  • Backlogs of the major construction contractors in Poland, September 2013-September 2014
  • Key financials for top 20 construction firms operating in Poland (PLN m), 2008-2013
  • Leading manufacturers of building materials in Poland, by type of material, 2014
  • Major investment projects of building material manufacturers in Poland, 2012-2018