Construction sector in Poland 2016 - Regional focus

Market analysis and development forecasts for 2016-2021

Use this report to thoroughly examine the current status and available opportunities in the Polish construction market from a regional point of view. It contains a wide range of data that describes and highlights the differences in prevailing conditions within three major segments - residential, non-residential and engineering construction in each of the various voivodeships, along with detailed information about new and upcoming projects and the total number of building permits issued.

 

This analysis also provides reliable growth forecasts for the Polish construction sector till 2021.

 

Unique data contained in the regional report on Poland...

 

The report ‘Construction sector in Poland – Regional analysis” is intended for companies that need data not only for Poland as a whole, which the H1, H2 reports provide, but also provincial breakdowns. 

 

It includes...

  • several dozen measures broken down into voivodships (regional data on existing motorways and expressways, projects in tender phase and projects in planning)
  • the length of railway projects planned for 2016-2021
  • the number of hydro power projects planned for 2016-2021
  • the length of new gas pipelines planned to be laid by 2023
  • investments in power-generating units
  • shares contributed by voivodship capitals in terms of the number of non-residential buildings in individual regions
  • investment projects planned in Special Economic Zones
  • allocation of EU funds within the framework of the Regional Operational Programmes for 2016-2021 (including a comparison to the 2007-2013 programming period)
  • efficiency of the implementation of the Flat for Young People scheme
  • voivodships’ contribution to GDP generation
  • GDP per capita
  • number of construction companies sorted by headcount

 

Sources of data used in the report:

 

  • PMR Inwestycje database
  • PMR econometric models
  • GUS
  • Central Building Supervisory Office (GUNB)
  • Ministry of Infrastructure and Development
  • General Directorate for National Roads and Motorways (GDDKiA)
  • PKP
  • PGE, Tauron, Energa, Enea, etc.
  • Special Economic Zones
  • Residential and non-residential developers’  investment plans

 

What is the content of PMR’s report on Construction sector in Poland 2016 - Regional focus?

 

  • Details on permits issued and planned and ‘in progress’ road construction projects in each Polish voivodeship
  • Updates on General Directorate for National Roads and Motorways plans for new construction and upgrades, along with projected spending levels
  • Statement of permissions for residential projects by location and type of building (detached houses and multiple dwelling)
  • Growth forecasts till 2021
  • Market size, value and other important indicators
  • Information on current and projected residential construction projects in each voivodeship, including a breakdown by segment (office buildings, hotels, trade, industry, public buildings)
  • Data on construction and assembly output arranged in terms of work location rather than company headquarters

 

Subsectors included in this report...

 

Civil engineering construction

  • Road construction
  • Railway construction
  • Heavy industry investments

Non-residential construction

  • Hotel construction
  • Retail and service construction
  • Office construction
  • Industrial and warehouse construction
  • Public building construction

Residential construction

  • Single-family buildings
  • Multi-dwelling buildings

 

Who benefits from the analysis?

 

  • Contracting companies use our forecasts for each individual voivodeship and information about the largest planned construction investments to prepare for increased activity in the region, to plan an opening or expansion of regional offices, and to locate the most qualified regional partners, suppliers of materials and subcontractors
  • Architectural, design, project management firms and construction consulting companies
  • Manufacturers, distributors and companies, that supply construction machinery and equipment
  • Manufacturers and distributors of all major building materials: cement, concrete, aggregates, HVAC installations, lighting, wall materials, construction chemicals, roofing, doors, windows, facades, thermal insulation, pipes, sanitary ceramics, glass, asphalt, steel, and more) Banks and brokerage houses
  • Construction contractors using this report to locate new projects and initiate new operations in Poland.
  • Construction companies active in the various voivodeships of Poland
  • Investors, analysts, banks and other professionals

 

Why to buy the report?  

This report will assist with…

 

  • Expanding your business into new regions or to strengthen your company's presence in specific regions
  • Designating accurate sales targets for each individual region in 2016 and looking ahead to the next five years
  • Budgeting for the coming years in terms of regional operations
  • Creating internal reports for the entire Polish market and for each region                
  • Analysing the competitive environment
  • Pinpointing the regions with the highest increase in sales potential and  limiting investment risk while mergers, acquisitions

 

Did you know that...

 

  • An analysis of a still highly-fragmented network of expressways and motorways in Poland indicates that less-developed regions also have substantial investment needs.
  • In a long-term horizon, road construction in Poland’s eastern regions (Podlaskie, Lubelskie and Podkarpackie) has a very strong outlook.
  • Roads in these voivodships account for almost half of the length of all high-speed roads planned in Poland in the long term.

Extract from this report

  • That a significant number of road projects, not only expressways but also local roads, are in preparation is demonstrated by a rising number of permits for road projects. In H1 2015, the highest numbers of permits were issued in the Malopolskie and Wielkopolskie voivodships, while the Opolskie voivodship, which is a small region, reported the fastest growth in this respect. Despite the lack of expressways in planning, projects on local roads are entering the preparation stage in this voivodship.

Market commentary by expert

 

"The long-awaited acceleration in road construction is drawing closer, though its pace will vary from region to region, according the findings of PMR latest report “Construction sector in Poland 2016 – Regional focus. Market analysis and development forecasts for 2016-2021.” The road construction market is expected to grow in the double-digit percentage rate in 2016, driven by an impressive number of road projects contracted by the GDDKiA in 2014 and 2015. However, this is still just the beginning of large-scale extension of the national road network that will take place in 2017 and 2018."

 

Bartłomiej Sosna, 

Head Construction Analyst, PMR

 

Schueco International Poland wishes to recommend PMR Publications, as a trustworthy market information provider. PMR's prognoses concerning the construction sector are particularly worth recommending, as they are reliable and well prepared. Using them helps our company successfully plan further development. Managing Director, Schueco International Poland
We would like to highlight the work of specialists who are ready to provide a full range of services for the analysis of the market situation in the selected country. If you want to get the real market research, the PMR agency is one of the best providers which can help you. Marketing Manager, URSA Eurasia LLC - URALITA
PMR reports are a serious contribution to the market overview picture, focusing our attention on key events in the industry as well as highlighting both general and specific market indicators. Together, these components are the base for our future forecasts of construction market development and help us to plan our sales. Market Analyst, Alpha Cement
We have been cooperating with PMR for almost four years. We regularly receive PMR's newsletters concerning the Russian construction market. The reports are always prepared professionally and on time. They are also very useful, interesting, well-structured and contain up-to-date information. Business Analyst, Hilti Distribution, Russia
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  • Methodology
  • Executive summary
  • Overview of the construction market
    • Overview of the voivodships
    • Construction and assembly output by voivodship
    • Number of companies
    • Staffing level
    • Wages
    • Macroeconomic forecasts for 2016-2021
    • Development forecasts for construction output in 2016-2021
  • Civil engineering construction
  • Road construction
  • Railway construction
  • Heavy industry investments
  • Forecasts for construction output in 2016-2021
  • Non-residential construction
    • Hotel construction
    • Retail and service construction
    • Office construction
    • Industrial and warehouse construction
    • Public building construction
    • Forecasts for construction output in 2016-2021
  • Residential construction
    • Single-family buildings
    • Multi-dwelling buildings
    • Forecasts for residential construction output in 2016-2021

 

 

Graphs

  • Construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN bn), 2014
  • Shares of individual voivodships in construction and assembly output in Poland (%), the 2012-2014 average
  • Average annual level of construction confidence index by voivodship (pts), 2014-2015
  • Short-term forecast for order books and output of construction companies by voivodship (pts), average annual data, 2015
  • Utilisation of construction companies’ production capacity by voivodship (%), 2014-2015
  • Market competition as one of the key barriers to doing business in the construction industry, by voivodship (pts), average annual data, 2014-2015
  • Insufficient demand as one of the key barriers to doing business in the construction industry, by voivodship (pts), average annual data, 2014-2015
  • EU funds allocated to Poland under the Cohesion Policy by programme (€ bn), 2007-2013 and 2014-2020
  • Current and planned progress status of high-speed roads in Poland (%), 2015 and 2020
  • Material scope of railway projects in Poland by voivodship (km), 2014-2020
  • Length of the railway network by voivodship in Poland (km) and share (%), 2014
  • Density of the railway network in Poland by voivodship (km per 100 km²), 2015
  • Value of power projects in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2015
  • Planned length (km) of new gas pipelines in Poland by voivodship with a time horizon for 2018 and 2023
  • Number of hotels operating in the largest cities of Poland, 2015
  • Number of hotels in individual voivodships, 2013-2015
  • Retail space density in Warsaw and the regional cities (m² of GLA per 1,000 inhabitants), H1 2015
  • Share of modern office space in Warsaw and the regional cities (%), 2008-2016
  • Vacancy rates in office markets of Warsaw and the regional cities (%), 2014-2015 (end of period)
  • Employment in business services centres with foreign capital operating in Polish cities (‘000), 2014
  • Annual supply of modern warehouse space in Poland, on a regional basis (‘000 m²), 2013-2015
  • Modern warehouse space under construction in Poland on a regional basis (‘000 m²), 2013-2015
  • Structure of housing starts in Poland by main investors (%), 2015
  • Number of new loan agreements under Flat for Young People scheme in Poland, by voivodship, Q4 2015
  • Increase in number of new loan agreements under Flat for Young People scheme in Poland, by voivodship, in Q4 2014 compared to the first 21 months of the scheme
  • Migration balance to the number of flats built in regional cities in Poland, average for 2005-2014

Tables

  • Capital expenditure in the key Special Economic Zones in Poland (PLN bn), cumulative data, 2005-2014
  • Supply of modern warehouse space in Poland, on a regional basis (‘000 m²), 2008-2015
  • Construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship per employee (PLN m), 2010-2014
  • Shares of individual segments of the construction market in Poland, by voivodship (%), 2014-2015
  • Average employment (‘000) in the construction industry in Poland by voivodship, 2014-2015
  • Natural persons conducting business activities in construction in Poland by voivodship, 2010-2015
  • Average gross monthly wage in construction in Poland by voivodship (PLN), 2010-2015
  • Allocation of the EU funds under Regional Operational Programmes in Poland (€m), 2007-2013 and 2014-2020
  • Total value of agreements for additional funding for municipalities from the EU funds (PLN bn), 2007-2013
  • GDP in Poland on a regional basis (PLN bn), 2013-2021
  • Real GDP growth in Poland on a regional basis (%, y-o-y), 2013-2021
  • Per capita GDP in Poland on a regional basis (PLN), 2013-2021
  • Per capita GDP in Poland on a regional basis (Poland=100), 2013-2021
  • Gross wage in the national economy in Poland on a regional basis (PLN), 2013-2021
  • Construction and assembly output in Poland on a regional basis (PLN m), 2013-2021
  • Change in construction and assembly output in Poland on a regional basis (%, y-o-y), 2013-2021
  • Average value of construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN m), by voivodship, 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Average share of voivodships in construction output generated in Poland (%), 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Length of expressways and motorways under construction and in tender in individual voivodships in Poland (km), February 2016
  • City bypasses planned for construction in Poland, by voivodship, 2015-2020
  • Back-up city bypasses which can potentially be constructed in Poland, by voivodship, 2015-2020
  • Existing motorways and expressways in Poland (km), by voivodship, 2005-2015
  • Permits for road construction projects and the number of infrastructure facilities in Poland, by voivodship, 2010-H1 2015
  • Sections in operation and sections planned for expansion within the framework of the National Road Construction Programme in Poland (km), 2015-2020
  • Capital expenditure on railway projects in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2014-2020
  • Value of power projects in Poland by voivodship and project stage (PLN m), 2015
  • Civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2013-2021
  • Projected change in civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (%), 2013-2021
  • Average value of civil engineering construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN m), by voivodship, 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Average share of voivodships in civil engineering construction in Poland (%), 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Structure of the number of public orders below EU thresholds awarded in Poland (%), by voivodship, 2010-2015
  • Floor area of hotels and tourist accommodation buildings for which building permits were issued, by voivodship (m²), 2014-2015
  • Modern retail space under construction in Warsaw and the regional cities (‘000 m²), 2012-2015 (end of period)
  • Total supply of modern retail space in Poland, on a regional basis (‘000 m²), 2012-2015
  • Floor area of retail and service buildings for which building permits were issued, by voivodship (m²), 2014-2015
  • Stock of modern office space in Warsaw and the regional cities (‘000 m²), 2008-2015
  • Office space under construction in Warsaw and the regional cities (m²), 2013-2015 (end of period)
  • Floor area of office buildings for which building permits were issued, by voivodship (m²), 2014-2015
  • Annual increase in the number of valid permits for operation in the Special Economic Zones in Poland, 2005-2014
  • Floor area of industrial and warehouse buildings for which building permits were issued, by voivodship (m²), 2014-2015
  • Investments in education and higher education in Poland (PLN m), by specialisation, 2004-2015
  • Floor area of public buildings for which building permits were issued, by voivodship (m²), 2014-2015
  • Non-residential building permits, by voivodship, Q1-Q3 2015
  • Floor area structure of non-residential building permits by type of building in individual voivodships (%), Q1-Q3 2015
  • Non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2013-2021
  • Projected change in non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (%), 2013-2021
  • Average value of non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN m), by voivodship, 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Average share of voivodships in non-residential construction in Poland (%), 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Key data on housing stock in Poland by voivodship, 2015
  • Housing starts in Poland, 2011-2015
  • Housing starts in Poland – individual investors, 2011-2015
  • Housing starts in Poland – developers and other investors, 2011-2015
  • Key events in the local property development markets, change from Q3 2015 (%), Q4 2015
  • Average transaction prices per square metre in selected cities (PLN), 2012-2015
  • Change in average transaction prices per square metre in selected cities (%, y-o-y), 2013-2015
  • Number of loan agreements and amount of assistance offered under Flat for Young People scheme in Poland (PLN m), by voivodship, 2014-2015
  • Number of new loan agreements under Flat for Young People scheme in Poland in regional capitals, Q4 2014
  • Shares of regional capitals in the number of new loan agreements in voivodship under Flat for Young People scheme in Poland, Q4 2014
  • Structure of new mortgage loans advanced by city (%), 2009-2015
  • Value of new mortgage loans advanced by city (PLN bn), 2009-2015
  • Growth of the value of new mortgage loans advanced by city (%), 2014-2015
  • Residential construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2013-2021
  • Projected change in residential construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (%), 2013-2021
  • Average value of residential construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN m), by voivodship, 2010-2015 and 2016-2021
  • Average share of voivodships in residential construction in Poland (%), 2010-2015 and 2016-2021