Telecoms market in Central and Eastern Europe 2007

Table of contents:

1. Methodology of the report

2. Executive Summary

3. Demographic and macroeconomic overview of the CEE region

4. Overview of situation on the telecoms market in the CEE region

   • Value of the market and its individual components
   • Structure of the CEE telecoms markets
   • Key trends in the CEE telecoms industry
   • Comparison of CEE markets with Western European markets
   • Market development forecast
   • Future trends
     • Prices
     • Decline in fixed-line telephony
     • Fixed-to-mobile substitution
     • Voice over IP
     • Broadband
     • WiMAX
     • Wi-Fi
     • CDMA-450 mobile networks
     • MVNOs
     • Number portability
     • 3G mobile telephony
     • Value-added services
   • Regulatory environment in the CEE countries
     • Market transparency and business risk
     • Regulatory institutions and their respective policies
     • State of telecommunication-related regulations in CEE countries
     • The European Union's evaluation of market liberalisation in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
     • Anticipated development of legal regulations in CEE
   • Appendix: Key capital groups and M&A activity in the region

5. The mobile telephony market in CEE

   • General analysis of the condition of the mobile industry in CEE
   • Current trends in the mobile industry
   • Development of 3G services
   • Key players on the CEE mobile market
   • Forecast for the mobile telephony industry in CEE

6. The fixed-line market in CEE

   • General analysis of the condition of the fixed-line industry in CEE
   • Current events and trends in the fixed-line industry
   • VoIP uptake in the CEE region
   • Key players on the CEE fixed-line market
   • Forecast for the fixed-line telephony industry in CEE

7. The data transmission, line rental and internet services provision (DLISP) market in CEE

   • General analysis of the condition of the DLISP market in CEE
     • Data transmission
     • Line rental
     • ISP services
   • Current trends in the DLISP market
   • Characteristics of particular DLISP markets in CEE
   • Forecast for the DLISP industry in CEE

8. List of graphs

9. List of tables

List of graphs and Tables:

List of graphs

1. Relationships between particular areas of the telecommunications market in the CEE region
2. Real GDP growth (%) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2009
3. CPI inflation rate (%) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2009
4. Unemployment (%) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2009
5. Per capita GDP at current prices (€) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2006
6. Average gross monthly nominal wages and salaries (€) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2006
7. Value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the telecommunications services market in CEE, 2001-2006
8. Value of the telecommunications market in CEE (€ bn) by country, 2001-2006
9. Value shares of main market areas in the telecommunications services market in CEE, 2001-2006
10. Percentage (%) of households using mobile telephony services (pre-paid and post-paid) in selected countries and European Union, 2006
11. Value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the telecommunications services market in CEE, 2006-2010
12. Value of the telecommunications market in CEE (€ bn) by country, 2006-2010
13. Value (€ bn) of the telecommunications market in CEE by main market areas, 2006-2010
14. Value shares (€ bn) of main market areas in the telecommunications services market in CEE, 2001-2010
15. Share of voice, messaging and value-added services in blended mobile ARPU in Central and Eastern Europe, 2005-2011
16. The France Telecom group, Q1 2007
17. The Telefonica O2 group, Q1 2007
18. The Vodafone group, Q1 2007
19. The Deutsche Telecom group, Q1 2007
20. The Telenor group, Q1 2007
21. The value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the mobile market in CEE, 2002-2006
22. Growth (%) of the mobile market in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, by value, 2002-2006
23. The mobile market in CEE, shares of each country, in terms of value (%), 2003-2006
24. CEE mobile market shares (%) of Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006
25. Number (million) and growth rate (%) of mobile users in CEE, 1997-2006
26. Number of mobile users (million) in CEE by countries, 1997-2006
27. Growth rate (%) of the numbers of mobile users in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 1995-2006
28. Mobile penetration rate (%) in CEE and EU-15, 1996-2006
29. Mobile penetration rate (%) in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 1997-2006
30. Mobile penetration development (%) since the launch of the first GSM network in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia
31. Share (%) of pre-paid customers as a proportion of the total mobile subscriber base in CEE by countries, 2000-2006
32. Combined mobile ARPU (€) in CEE by countries, 2001-2006
33. Minutes of use per subscriber per month (MoU) in CEE by countries, 2001-2006
34. Effective revenue (€) per one-minute mobile call in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2001-2006
35. Share (%) of non-voice services as a proportion of total revenues from mobile services in CEE by countries, 2001-2006
36. The value (€ m) of non-voice services of mobile telephony in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2001-2006
37. Share of revenues (%) from basic SMS traffic as proportion of mobile non-voice services in CEE, by value (€ m), 2006
38. The value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the value-added services market in CEE, 2001-2006
39. The value-added services market (€ m) in CEE by countries, 2001-2006
40. Churn rate (%) on the mobile markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2001-2006
41. 3G subscribers (million) in CEE by country, 2006-2010
42. Structure of the CEE mobile market – operators’ shares (%) by number of subscribers (million), 2006
43. Structure of CEE mobile market – operators’ shares (%) in terms of revenue (€ bn), 2006
44. Structure of the Russian mobile market – operators’ shares (%) by number of subscribers (million), 2006
45. Structure of the Polish mobile telephony market – operators’ shares (%) by number of subscribers (million), 2006
46. Structure of the Czech mobile telephony market – operators’ share (%) by number of subscribers (million), 2006
47. Structure of the Hungarian mobile telephony market – operators’ shares (%) by number of subscribers (million), 2006
48. Number of mobile users (million) in CEE by country, 2006-2010
49. Share (%) of pre-paid as a proportion of the total mobile subscriber base in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
50. Mobile penetration (%) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
51. Mobile penetration (%) in CEE and EU-15, 2006-2010
52. Value (€ bn) of the mobile market in CEE by country, 2006-2010
53. Growth rate (%) of the mobile market in CEE by countries, 2006-2010
54. Combined mobile ARPU (€) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
55. Effective revenue (€) per one minute mobile call in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
56. The value (€ bn) of mobile telephony non-voice services in CEE by country, 2006-2010
57. Number of minutes of use per subscriber per month (MoU) in CEE by countries, 2006-2010
58. The value (€ bn) of the fixed line market in CEE by country, 2001-2006
59. CEE fixed-line market value shares (€ bn) of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006
60. The value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the fixed-line market in CEE, 2002-2006
61. Year-on-year growth (%) of the fixed line market in CEE by county, 2002-2006
62. CEE fixed-line market shares of countries, by number of lines (million), 2006
63. Number of lines (million) and fixed-line penetration (%) in CEE by countries, 2006
64. Share of the largest player with regard to the total number of fixed lines on the markets of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006
65. The percentage of households in selected CEE countries and EU-15 with at least one fixed-line telephone, 2006
66. Fixed-line penetration in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 1995-2006
67. Fixed-line penetration rate in the CEE region and in the EU-15 area, 1995-2006
68. Number of fixed line subscribers (million) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 1995-2006
69. Year-on-year growth of the number of fixed lines in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 1998-2006
70. New fixed lines installed by Svyazinvest in a given year, 2003-2006
71. Percentage (%) of households which would give up fixed-line services if they could use a mobile phone at home for the same price, in selected CEE countries, 2006
72. Fixed-line voice traffic (billions of minutes) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2006
73. Voice ARPU from fixed-line services in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2006
74. Effective revenue per one minute call (€) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2002-2006
75. Percentage (%) of internet enabled households using VoIP services in selected CEE countries, 2006
76. Largest fixed-line players in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, by number of lines (million), 2006
77. Shares of key players in the CEE fixed-line market, by number of subscribers, 2006
78. Svyazinvest’s share in the Russian fixed-line market by number of lines (’000), 2006
79. Shares of key players in the Polish fixed-line market, by number of lines (’000), 2006
80. Hungarian fixed-line market shares of key players, by number of lines (’000), 2006
81. Shares of key players in Czech fixed-line market, by number of lines (’000), 2006
82. Fixed-line penetration (%) in CEE by countries, 2006-2010
83. Number of fixed lines (million) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
84. Fixed-line market value (€ bn) in CEE by country, 2006-2010
85. Growth rates (%) of the fixed-line markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006-2010
86. The value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the DLISP market in CEE, 2001-2006
87. Value (€ bn) of the DLISP market in CEE by country, 2001-2006
88. Value (€ million) of the DLISP market in CEE by main areas, 2006
89. Value (€ million) of the data transmission market in CEE by country, 2001-2006
90. Year-on-year growth rates of the data transmission market in CEE by country, 2002-2006
91. Value (€ million) of the line rental market in CEE by country, 2001-2006
92. Year-on-year growth rates of the line rental market in CEE by country, 2002-2006
93. Value (€ million) of the ISP market in CEE by country, 2001-2006
94. Year-on-year growth rates of the ISP market in CEE by country, 2002-2006
95. Internet penetration in CEE by country, 2006
96. The number of broadband subscribers (‘000) in CEE by country, 2002-2006
97. Year-on-year growth rates of the number of broadband subscribers in CEE by country, 2002-2006
98. Broadband penetration in CEE by country, 2006
99. Number (’000) of broadband subscribers in CEE by main kinds of access, 2006
100. Number (’000) of broadband subscribers in CEE by country and main access technology, 2006
101. Number of internet users (million) in CEE by country, 1997-2006
102. Internet penetration in CEE by country, 1999-2006
103. Broadband penetration rate in CEE by country, 2001-2006
104. Number of broadband subscribers (’000) in CEE by main access technology, 2002-2006
105. Dial-up traffic (billions of minutes) in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2001-2006
106. Internet penetration rate among companies in CEE by country, 2003-2006
107. Value (€ bn) and growth rate (%) of the DLISP market in CEE, 2006-2010
108. Value (€ bn) of the DLISP market in CEE by main areas, 2006-2010
109. Value (€ bn) of the DLISP market in CEE by country, 2006-2010
110. Internet penetration rate in CEE by country, 2006-2010
111. Broadband penetration rate in CEE by country, 2006-2010
112. Number of broadband subscribers (’000) in CEE by main access technology, 2006-2010
113. The number of broadband subscribers (’000) in CEE by country, 2006-2010
114. The number of ADSL subscribers (’000) in CEE by country, 2006-2010

List of tables

1. Average euro exchange rates in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, 2006
2. Key telecom-related data for CEE countries, 2006-2010
3. Populations in selected Central and Eastern European countries (millions), 2006
4. The largest cities in the CEE region, by population (million), 2006
5. Basic macroeconomic indicators in selected CEE countries, 2006
6. Calendar of key developments on the CEE market in 2001
7. Calendar of key developments on the CEE market between 2002 and 2004
8. Calendar of key developments on the CEE market in 2005
9. Calendar of key developments on the CEE market in 2006
10. Calendar of key developments on the CEE market in 2007
11. Key ICT indicators of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia in comparison with EU-15, 2006
12. Percentage (%) of households with access to telephony services (fixed-line and mobile) in selected European and EU countries, 2006
13. Comparison of regulatory regimes in CEE countries, H1 2007
14. State of competition and regulation on the 18 relevant markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, 2006
15. Biggest M&A transactions ($ m) made by Russian mobile operators in the CIS, 2001-2007
16. Number of mobile subscribers (million) and penetration rates (%) in the CIS, mid-2006
17. Key data relating to the mobile telephony market in CEE, 2006
18. Condition of 3G telephony in CEE, May 2007
19. Mobile TeleSystems (MTS) key data, 2001-2006
20. VimpelCom key data, 2001-2006
21. MegaFon key data, 2001-2006
22. Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa key data, 2001-2006
23. PTK Centertel key data, 2001-2006
24. Polkomtel key data, 2001-2006
25. Telefonica O2 Czech Republic key data, 2001-2006
26. T-Mobile Czech Republic key data, 2001-2006
27. Vodafone Czech Republic key data, 2001-2006
28. T-Mobile Hungary key data, 2001-2006
29. Pannon key data, 2001-2006
30. Vodafone Hungary key data, 2001-2006
31. Numbers of subscribers (million) and revenues (€ million) of the major mobile operators in selected countries of Central and Eastern Europe, 2006
32. Key data on the fixed-line market in the CEE region, 2006
33. Svyazinvest key data, 2002-2006
34. TP SA key data, 2002-2006
35. Magyar Telekom key data, 2002-2006
36. Telefonica O2 Czech Republic key data, 2002-2006
37. Number of subscribers (million) and revenues (€ bn) of major fixed-line operators in selected countries of Central and Eastern Europe, 2006
38. Key data on the data transmission, line rental and internet services provision market in the CEE region, 2006
39. Per capita expenditure (€) on DLISP services in CEE region by country, 2006

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