Telecommunications market in Poland 2009

Table of contents:

Methodology of the report

Executive summary

An overview of the telecommunications market in Poland

• Value and growth rate of the telecommunications market in Poland
• Current situation, events and trends on the market
• Current situation
• Key events on the market
• Key trends in the market
• Forecasts for the telecommunications market in Poland
• Market development forecasts 2009-2013
• Key trends on the Polish market in the upcoming years
• Legislation and the institutional environment of the telecommunications market
• Telecommunications Law
• Regulatory offices and professional organisations
• Other important legal changes
• Extra: Main capital groups on the Polish telecommunications market

Results of the survey of the 100 largest telecommunications companies in Poland

• Introduction
• Assessment of the situation in the Polish telecommunications market and forecasts for the forthcoming future
• Impact of the global financial crisis on the Polish telecommunications market
• Barriers to and stimuli for the growth of the Polish telecommunications market
• Assessment of UKE’s activities
• Growth prospects for individual segments of telecommunications market
• The most prospective segments of telecommunications market
• Growth prospects for WiMAX technology
• Growth prospects for mobile value-added services
• Growth prospects for mobile virtual operators
• Growth prospects for mobile TV
• Growth prospects for 3G telephony
• Expectations regarding mergers and acquisitions
• Prospects for TP SA lines handled by WLR and BSA
• Prospects for the number of fixed lines and SIM cards

Mobile telephony market

• Value and growth rate of the market
• Number of SIM cards and penetration
• Mobile telephony market structure
• Market trends and developments
• Players in the mobile market
• PTK Centertel
• Polkomtel
• PTC
• P4
• Forecasts for the mobile market in Poland
• Supplement: MVNO market in Poland
• Supplement: Distribution and mobile handset market in Poland
• Supplement: 3G in Poland

Fixed-line telephony market

• Number of fixed-line subscribers and fixed-line penetration rate
• Market trends and developments
• WLR/LLU
• VoIP market
• Business market
• Structure of the fixed-line market
• Local connections market
• Domestic long distance connections market
• International connections market
• Fixed-to-mobile connections market
• Key players on the fixed-line market
• Telekomunikacja Polska (TP SA)
• Netia
• Telefonia Dialog
• Multimedia Polska
• Other operators
• Forecasts for the fixed-line market in Poland

Data transmission, line rental and ISP market

• Market value and growth rate
• Structure of the DLISP market
• Data transmission market
• Line rental market
• Internet access market
• Key players on the DLISP market
• TP SA
• Netia
• Exatel
• GTS Energis
• TK Telekom
• Telefonia Dialog
• Crowley Data Poland
• NASK
• Cable television operators
• Forecasts for the DLISP market in Poland

List of graphs

List of tables

About PMR

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List of graphs and Tables:

List of graphs

1. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the telecommunications market in Poland, 1998-2008
2. WIG20 and WIG-Telekom index values, 1 Oct 2007-30 Sep 2009
3. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the telecommunications services market in Poland, 1998-2008
4. Telecommunications market in Poland - particular segments’ shares (%) in the total market value, 2008
5. Monthly cost of using a fixed-line telephone (€) for individual users in Poland, selected European countries and the European Union, 2000-2008
6. Monthly cost of using a fixed-line telephone (€) for corporate users in Poland, selected European countries and the European Union, 2000-2008
7. Aggregate monthly revenue (PLN) per fixed-line, mobile and broadband internet access user in Poland, 2001-2009
8. Number (m) of permanent internet connections and broadband internet connections in Poland, 2004 - H1 2009 200
9. Household penetration rates for PCs, laptops and internet access in Poland, 1998-2009
10. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) in telecommunications market in Poland, 2008-2013
11. Value of individual segments of the telecommunications market in Poland (PLN bn), 1998-2013
12. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the telecommunications services market in Poland , 2008-2013
13. Telecommunications market in Poland - shares of selected segments (%) in market value, 1998-2013
14. Telecommunications market in Poland - individual segments’ values growth rates (%), 1999-2013
15. TP group
16. Polkomtel/Exatel group
17. Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa group
18. Netia group
19. How was 2008 for your company?, Aug 2009
20. How will 2009 turn out for your company relative to 2008?, Aug 2009
21. PMR telecoms climate indicator, 2002-2009
22. Did the value of the Polish telecoms market decrease, increase, or remain unaltered in 2008 relative to 2007?, Aug 2009
23. Will the value of the Polish telecommunications market increase, decrease or remain unaltered in 2009 relative to 2008 and in 2010 relative to 2009?, Aug 2009
24. Rate of change of the Polish telecommunications market in 2008 in respondents’ opinion
25. Expected impact of the global finacial crisis on the Polish telecommunications market’s rate of change in 2009-2010, Aug 2009
26. Polish telecommunications market’s segment which will be affected the most by the global financial crisis, Aug 2009
27. Will telecoms in Poland reduce their investments during the upcoming 12 months due to the crisis?, Aug 2009
28. How will companies’ expenditure on telecommunications services in Poland be distributed within the following 12 months?, Aug 2009
29. How will households’ expenditure on telecommunications services in Poland be distributed within the following 12 months?, Aug 2009
30. Will the market value in individual segments in Poland increase, decrease or remain unaltered within the following two years?, Aug 2009
31. Are there any telecommunications market areas/segments in Poland which may benefit from the crisis or economic stagnation?, Aug 2009
32. The greatest barriers to the growth of the telecommunications market in Poland, Aug 2009
33. Selected greatest barriers to the growth of the Polish telecommunications market, 2002-2009
34. Key growth factors for telecommunications market in Poland within the following two years, Aug 2009
35. Selected key growth factors for the Polish telecommunications market, 2002-2009
36. How would you assess UKE’s actions?, Aug 2009
37. The most desirable UKE’s actions in Poland, Aug 2009
38. Opinions about possible effects of TP SA’s split into wholesale and retail division in Poland, Aug 2009
39. Growth prospects for selected telecommunications market’s segments in Poland within the following two years, Aug 2009
40. How will individual segments grow relative to the entire telecommunications market in Poland within the following two years?, Aug 2009
41. Should considerable investments in WiMAX in Poland be expected?, Aug 2009
42. Mobile value-added services to grow the fastest within the following two years, Aug 2009
43. Will any new MVNOs appear in the mobile telecommunications market in the upcoming years?, Aug 2009
44. Number of MVNOs in Poland, Sep 2009-2011
45. Opinions about MVNOs and their chances of succeeding in the mobile telecommunications market, Aug 2009
46. Key success factors for MVNOs, Aug 2009
47. Key reasons for a relatvely large number of MVNOs in Poland relative to other Central and Eastern European countries, Aug 2009
48. Mobile TV content with highest chances of becoming popular in Poland, Aug 2009
49. Respondents’ opinions about the statement: „3G’s development will result in a decline in prices for mobile calls”, Aug 2009
50. Respondents’ opinions about the statement: „3G’s development drives the mobile internet access”, Aug 2009
51. Will M&As take place in the Polish telecommunications market within the following year?, Aug 2009
52. Number of TP SA lines handled by alternative operators based on WLR in Poland (m), in 2008 and 2010
53. Number of TP SA lines handled by alternative operators based on BSA in Poland (m), in 2008 and 2010
54. Number of fixed lines per 100 Polish inhabitants, in 2009 and 2010
55. Number of SIM cards per 100 Polish inhabitants, in 2009 and 2010
56. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the mobile telephony market in Poland, 2002-2008
57. Polish mobile market - operators’ shares (%) by their revenue (PLN bn), 2008
58. Polish mobile market - operators’ shares (%) by their revenue (PLN bn), H1 2009
59. Quarterly values of the Polish mobile market (PLN bn), Q1 2003-Q4 2009
60. Mobile penetration (%) in Poland, 1998-H1 2009
61. Number of SIM cards in mobile networks in Poland (m) and y-on-y growth rate (%), 1998-H1 2009
62. Polish mobile market - shares of networks by number of SIM cards (m), H1 2009
63. Number of net additions in the Polish mobile market (’000), 1998-2008
64. Number of net additions in the Polish mobile market (’000), H1 2009
65. Total connection time in mobile telephony in Poland (million minutes), 2005-2008
66. Total number of SMSs sent in Poland (m), 2005-2008
67. Total number of MMSs sent in Poland (m), 2005-2008
68. Polish mobile operators’ revenue (PLN bn) by categories, 2005-2008
69. Shares of pre- and post-paid customers (%) in the Polish mobile market, 2002-H1 2009
70. Polish post-paid mobile market - operators’ shares (%) by number of subscribers (m), H1 2009
71. Polish pre-paid mobile market - networks’ shares (%) by number of customers (m), H1 2009
72. Polish mobile operators’ blended average ARPU (PLN), 2001-H1 2009
73. Average revenue per minute of connection in Poland (PLN), 2001-H1 2009
74. Share of non-voice services in mobile operators’ total revenue in Poland (%), 2001-H1 2009
75. Schedule of changes in MTRs asymmetry between P4 and three largest MNOs in Poland (% - maximum asymmetry), 2009-2013
76. Number of SIM cards in Poland (m) and y-on-y growth rate (%), 2008-2013
77. Mobile users in Poland - shares of pre- and post-paid segments (%), 2008-2013
78. Mobile penetration (%) in Poland, 2008-2013
79. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the mobile telephony market in Poland, 2008-2013
80. Revenue structure of mobile services in Poland by groups of receivers (%), 2009
81. MVNO market in Poland by number of SIM cards (’000) distributed by particular MVNOs, H1 2009
82. Volume of sales of new mobile telephones in Poland (m) and growth rate (%), 2003-2008
83. Mobile handsets market in Poland by largest manufacturers’ volume of sales (m), 2008
84. Largest dealers in the mobile market in Poland by number of outlets, August 2009
85. Pre-paid market - sales locations of electronic top-ups and cards as well as starter kits (%), H1 2009
86. Number (’000) of mobile internet subscribers in Poland, H1 2007-H1 2009
87. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the Polish fixed-line market, 2001-2008
88. Fixed-line market in Poland - key players’ shares (%) by revenue volume (PLN m), 2008
89. Fixed-line market in Poland - number of lines (m) and market penetration (%), 1996-H1 2009
90. Fixed-line market in Poland - key players’ shares (%) by number of lines, H1 2009
91. Number of TP SA’s lines (’000) handled by alternative operators based on WLR, Q1 2007-Q4 2009
92. VoIP’s share in the total time of voice connections in fixed-line networks in Poland (%), 2001-2008
93. Percentage of internet users in Poland (%) with particular communicators installed, end of H1 2009
94. VoIP fixed-line telephone services subscribers in major CaTV networks in Poland, H1 2008-H1 2009
95. Number of business lines in Poland (m) and their share in the total number of fixed lines (%), 2003-2008
96. Business fixed-line market in Poland - key players’ shares (%) by number of lines (’000), H1 2009
97. Fixed-line market in Poland - shares by revenue source, 2004-2008
98. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate in fixed-line voice connections market in Poland, 2001-2008
99. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate in the fixed-line voice connections market in Poland by market segments, 2001-2008
100. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of LC market in Poland, 2001-2008
101. Value (PLN bn) of LC market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
102. Volume (bn minutes) of LC market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
103. LC market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue volume, 2008
104. TP SA’s share in LCs within its own network (%) by traffic volume, Q1 2005-Q2 2009
105. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of DLD market in Poland, 2001-2008
106. Value (PLN bn) of DLD market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
107. Volume (bn minutes) and growth rate (%) of DLD market in Poland, 2001-2008
108. Volume (bn minutes) of the DLD market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
109. DLD market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue volume, 2008
110. TP SA’s share in DLD connections within its own network (%) by traffic volume, Q1 2005-Q2 2009
111. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) in ILD market in Poland, 2001-2008
112. Value (PLN m) of ILD market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
113. Volume (m minutes) and growth rate (%) of ILD market in Poland, 2001-2008
114. Volume (m minutes) of ILD market in Poland divided by traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
115. ILD market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue volume (PLN m), 2008
116. TP SA’s share in ILD connections within its own network (%) by traffic volume, Q1 2005-Q2 2009
117. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) in F2M market in Poland, 2001-2008
118. Value (PLN bn) of F2M market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
119. Volume (bn minutes) and growth rate (%) of F2M market in Poland, 2001-2008
120. Volume (bn minutes) of F2M market in Poland divided into traditional and VoIP markets, 2001-2008
121. F2M market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue volume (PLN m), 2008
122. TP SA’s share in F2M market within its own network (%) by traffic volume, Q1 2005-Q2 2009
123. TP SA’s consolidated revenue by individual segments (%), H1 2005-H1 2009
124. TP SA’s revenue from fixed-line telephone services by subscription fee and connections (%), 2002-H1 2009
125. Number of fixed-lines (m) and fixed-line penetration (%) in Poland, 2008-2013
126. Number of fixed lines in Poland (m), by consumer and business lines, 2008-2013
127. Rate of change in number of fixed-lines in Poland, by busines and consumer lines (%), 2004-2013
128. WLR/LLU share in total number of fixed lines in Poland, 2007-2013
129. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the fixed-line market in Poland, 2008-2013
130. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate of the DLISP market in Poland, 2001-2008
131. Polish DLISP market - individual segments’ shares (PLN m) in the market value, 2008
132. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) of the data transmission market in Poland, 2001-2008
133. Data transmission market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue (PLN m), 2008
134. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) of the line rental market in Poland, 2001-2008
135. Line rental market in Poland – the key players’ shares (%) by revenue volume from wholesale and retail markets, 2008
136. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) of the internet access market in Poland, 2001-2008
137. Number of users (m) and internet penetration rate (%) in Poland, 1997-H1 2009
138. Percentage of internet users in Poland using the internet on an everyday or nearly everyday basis, Q2 2003-Q2 2009
139. Percentage of internet users in Poland using the internet at home, Q2 2003-Q2 2009
140. Percentage (%) of internet users in Poland declaring having internet access at home, with a breakdown into broadband and dial-up access, H1 2005-H1 2009
141. Types of internet connections used in households in Poland (% of households), H1 2006-H1 2009
142. Internet penetration in companies in selected countries of the Central and Eastern European region, 2003-2008
143. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) of the dial-up market in Poland, 2001-2008
144. Number of TP SA dial-up customers (‘000), Q2 2006-Q2 2009
145. Dial-up market in Poland - key players’ shares by revenue (PLN m), 2008
146. Dial-up traffic in Poland (bn minutes), 2001-2009
147. Value (PLN m) and growth rate (%) of the broadband internet access market in Poland, 2001-2008
148. Percentage of broadband connetions in Poland by transfer capacity to end-user, H1 2009
149. Broadband internet subscribers (‘000) to telecommunications operators in xDSL and to CaTV operators in Poland, 2001-H1 2009
150. BSA-based services subscribers in Poland (‘000) by key players’ shares, H1 2009
151. Broadband internet acces market in Poland - key players’/access types’ share by number of subscribers (‘000), H1 2009
152. Broadband internet penetration rate (%) in Poland, 2002-H1 2009
153. TP SA’s revenue on the DLISP market (PLN m) by particular segments, 2002-2008
154. Number of broadband internet subscribers handled by TP SA in the retail and wholesale market (‘000), H1 2007-H1 2009
155. Number of broadband internet subscribers handled by Netia, Q1 2007-Q2 2009
156. TK Telekom, revenue structure (PLN m), 2008
157. Telefonia Dialog’s internet subscribers and rate of change, 2004-H1 2009
158. Biggest CaTV operators in Poland by revenue (PLN m) from internet access services, 2008
159. Biggest CaTV operators in Poland by number of internet access subscribers (‘000), H1 2009
160. Internet in Poland - number of users (m) and penetration rate (%), 2008-2013
161. Broadband internet access subscribers (‘000) in Poland by business and household segments, 2008-2013
162. Number of subscribers (m) in Poland by particular broadband access technologies used, 2008-2013
163. Total number of fixed-line broadband connections used in Poland - shares of particular technologies, 2008-2013
164. Total number of broadband internet access subscribers (‘000) in Poland by fixed-line and mobile market, 2007-2013
165. Portable computers in Poland - sale’s volume (‘000) and growth rate (%), 2007-2013
166. Value (PLN bn) of particular segments in the DLISP market in Poland, 2001-2013
167. Number of xDSL broadband internet access connections (‘000) in TP SA by connections handled directly by TP SA and based on BSA/LLU, 2007-2013
168. Value (PLN bn) and growth rate (%) of the DLISP market in Poland, 2008-2013

List of tables

1. Telecommunications market in Poland – key data and forecasts, 2008-2013
2. Key developments on the market to September 2009
   
3. Key data on the mobile telephony market in Poland
4. Blended ARPU (PLN) of mobile operators in Poland and y-on-y growth rate of the indicator (%), 2005-H1 2009
5. PTK Centertel: key data, 2001-H1 2009
6. Polkomtel: key data, 2001-H1 2009
7. Polkomtel’s average prices for calls and SMSs (PLN) as well as network transfer (TB), 2001-2008
8. PTC: key data, 2001-H1 2009
9. P4: key data, 2007-H1 2009
10. MVNOs present on or intending to enter the Polish mobile market, H1 2009
11. Intended and estimated number of users of selected MVNOs in Poland, H1 2009
12. 3G coverage (%) for particular mobile operators in Poland, end of H1 2008 and H1 2009
13. Number of radio permits for UMTS stations for particular mobile operators in Poland, 2009
14. Key data on fixed-line telephony market in Poland
15. TP SA: key data, 2000-H1 2009
16. Netia: key data, 2000-H1 2009
17. Telefonia Dialog: key data, 2000-H1 2009
18. Multimedia Polska: key data, 2002-H1 2009
19. Sferia: key data, 2005-H1 2009
20. Key data on the data transmission, line rental and ISP market (DLISP) in Poland
21. Local ISPs acquired by Netia, 2006-2009
22. Growth rate for particular DLISP market segments (%), 2008-2013
23. Standard broadband internet access offered to Polish individual subscribers by price (PLN) and connection speed, 2007-2013
    

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