Our report presents the shopping centre market in Central Europe in terms of available gross lettable area (GLA) as well as existing schemes and those in the pipeline. In particular, the report covers Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. The report also profiles important developers and investors, as well as contractors in the region. Key coverage includes market development forecasts up to 2011, as well as analysis of attractive locations in each country for further shopping schemes introduction.
This report is crafted with MarketInsight, PMR proprietary research methodology.
An essential read for:
- top management and marketing departments of companies either already active or considering launching operations on the construction market in Central Europe - developers, contractors and investors - architects and consultants interested in the Central European market.
This report is an invaluable resource for any company active in or considering entry to the Central European construction sector.
Table of contents:
Methodology
Executive summary
Social and macroeconomic overview
Demographics
Economic growth
Labour market and purchasing power
Retail sales 2004-2009
Comparative analysis of shopping centre market in Central Europe
2008-2009: Shopping centre construction boom
Market size 2007-2009
GLA in Central Europe
Number of shopping schemes in Central Europe
Composition of existing Central European GLA and number of schemes by country
GLA growth by 2009 by country in Central Europe
GLA per 1,000 inhabitants by country in Central Europe
Development drivers
Rising incomes
Increasing consumer spending
Improving retail sales and strong demand for retail space
Expansion of large multinational grocery retailers
Demand for convenience
Demand for a more diverse and larger range of goods
Market trends
Low vacancy rates and expansion to regional towns
Steady increase in rents
Development of superior, specialist and innovative forms of shopping centres
New generations of shopping centres
New brands on the market following the development of shopping centres
Yield compression slowdown
Shopping centre investment deals
Major developers in Central Europe
Largest shopping centres in Central Europe
Development forecasts up to 2011
Country profiles
Poland
Demographics
Macroeconomics overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Largest shopping centres: existing and in the pipeline, H2 2008-2011
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Czech Republic
Demographics
Macroeconomic overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Slovakia
Demographics
Macroeconomic overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Largest shopping centres: existing and in the pipeline, H2 2008-2011
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Hungary
Demographics
Macroeconomic overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Largest shopping centres: existing and in the pipeline, H2 2008-2011
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Romania
Demographics
Macroeconomic overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Largest shopping centres: existing and in the pipeline, H2 2008-2011
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
Bulgaria
Demographics
Macroeconomic overview
Retail industry overview
Shopping centre market overview 2007-2009
Largest shopping centres: existing and in the pipeline, H2 2008-2011
Profiles of prominent developers, investors and contracts
Shopping centre space saturation analysis H1 2008-2011: largest cities
List of graphs
List of tables
About PMR
Contact PMR
List of graphs and Tables:
List of graphs
Central European countries covered by the report
Total shopping centre GLA in Central Europe (m2), 1995-2009
Total GLA of shopping centres (m m2), their number and average size (m2) in the countries of Central Europe, 2007
Total and new shopping centre GLA in Central Europe (m m2), 2008-2011
Shopping centre GLA (m m2) in individual Central European countries: existing and in the pipeline, 2007 and 2008-2011
Distribution of population of Central European countries (million, %), 2007
Population living in urban areas in Central European countries (%), 2007
Number of large cities in countries of Central Europe, 2007
Population of capitals of Central European countries (million and % of country’s total population), 2007
Populations of cities with more than 100,000 in Central European countries (million and % of country’s total population), 2007
Total GDP in Central European countries (€ bn), 2004-2009
GDP of Central European countries (€ bn, %), 2007
Real GDP growth in the Central European countries (%), 2004-2009
Inflation in the Central European countries (%), 2004-2009
Unemployment rates in Central European counries (annual average, %), 2004-2008
Per capita GDP PPS in Central European countries (EU27=100), 2004-2010
Value of retail trade in Central Europe (€ bn), 2004-2009
Retail sales in Central European countries (€ bn, %), 2007
Retail sales per capita in Central European countries (€), 2006-2007
Value of shopping centres to be launched in Central Europe as a whole and in individual countries (€ m) in 2008 and 2009 and y-o-y change (%), 2008-2009
Breakdown of shopping centre construction value in Central Europe by country (%), 2008-2009
GLA in Central Europe (m m2) and y-o-y change (%), 2007-2009
Total shopping centre GLA in Central Europe (m2), 1995-2009
Number of shopping centres in Central Europe, 2007-2009
Size (m2) and composition (%) of shopping centre GLA in operation in Central European countries, 2007
Number of shopping centres in Central Europe by country, 2007
Total GLA of shopping centres (m m2), their number and average size (m2) in the countries of Central Europe, 2007
Shopping centre GLA per 1,000 inhabitants in capitals of Central European countries, H1 2008 and 2011
Forecast shopping centre GLA growth rate by country in Central Europe (%), 2009/2007
Shopping centre GLA (m m2) in operation in 2007 and planned for 2008-2
in Central Europe, 2007-2009
Share of individual countries as a proportion of total Central European shopping centre GLA (%), 1995-2009
Composition of shopping centre supply in operation (GLA, m2) in Central European countries (%), 2007-2009
Shopping centre GLA/1,000 inhabitants in countries of Central Europe (m2), 2007-2009
Average monthly wages in Central European countries (€), 2004-2010
Average shopping centre GLA in countries of Central Europe (m2), H1 2008
Total number of shopping centres in Central Europe, 2007-2011
Number of shopping centres in individual Central European countries, 2007 and forecast for 2011
Shopping centre GLA (m m2) in individual Central European countries: existing and in the pipeline, 2007 and 2008-2011
Total and new shopping centre GLA in Central Europe (m m2), 2008-2011
Amount to be invested in shopping centres in the pipeline for a given year (€ m), 2008-2011
Average shopping centre size in individual Central European countries (m2), H1 2008 and 2011
Distribution of population in Poland (%), 2007
Unemployment rate in Poland (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in Poland (€ bn), 2004-2010
Shopping centre GLA in total and newly added in Poland (m m2), 2000-2009
GLA in shopping centres in Poland by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) of shopping centres in Warsaw, Poland, 1997-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Lodz, Poland, 1998-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Krakow, Poland, 1997-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Wroclaw, Poland, 1998-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Poznan, Poland, 1998-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Gdansk, Poland, 1998-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest cities of Poland, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in Poland (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in Poland, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest Polish cities, 2011
Distribution of population in the Czech Republic (%), 2007
Unemployment rate in the Czech Republic (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in the Czech Republic (€ bn), 2004-2010
GLA in shopping centres in the Czech Republic by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) of shopping centres in Prague, the Czech Republic, 1997-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest Czech cities, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in the Czech Republic (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in the Czech Republic, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest cities of the Czech Republic, 2011
Distribution of population in Slovakia, 2007
Unemployment rate in Slovakia (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in Slovakia (€ bn), 2004-2010
GLA in shopping centres in Slovakia by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) of shopping centres in Bratislava, Slovakia, 2000-2011
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) of shopping centres in Kosice, Slovakia, 2001-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest cities of Slovakia, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in Slovakia (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in Slovakia, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest cities of Slovakia, 2011
Distribution of population in Hungary, 2007
Unemployment rate in Hungary (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in Hungary (€ bn), 2004-2010
GLA in shopping centres in Hungary by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Budapest, Hungary, 1997-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest cities of Hungary, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in Hungary (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in Hungary, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest cities of Hungary, 2011
Distribution of population in Romania, 2007
Unemployment rate in Romania (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in Romania (€ bn), 2004-2010
GLA in shopping centres in Romania by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Bucharest, Romania, 1997-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest cities of Romania, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in Romania (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in Romania, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest cities of Romania, 2011
Distribution of population in Bulgaria, 2007
Unemployment rate in Bulgaria (%), 2004-2008
Value of retail trade in Bulgaria (€ bn), 2004-2010
GLA in shopping centres in Bulgaria by cities (%), H1 2008
Number and GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in Sofia, Bulgaria, 1999-2011
GLA (m2) in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants in the largest cities of Bulgaria, H1 2008
GLA in the pipeline in cities in Bulgaria (%), H2 2008-2011
GLA (‘000 m2) in shopping centres in the largest cities in Bulgaria, active in H1 2008 and planned for H2 2008-2011
GLA in shopping centres per 1,000 inhabitants (m2) in the largest cities of Romania, 2011
List of tables
Annual average exchange rates used for this report (euro to national currency unit), 2004-2010
Forecast number of shopping centres, their GLA (m m2) and growth in comparison with 2007 (%) in individual Central European countries, 2009
The largest shopping centres in the region, H1 2008
Top 15 cities in Central Europe by number of residents, 2007
Key data on first shopping centres opened in each Central European country, 1996-2008
Disposable household income in Central European countries (€ ‘000 per capita), 1995, 2005, 2016
Consumer spending per capita in Central European countries (€ ‘000), 1995, 2005, 2016
Value of retail sales in Central European countries (€ bn) in 2008 and y-o-y change (%), 2005-2009
Rental rates (per m2/month) in Central Europe, by country (€), 2007
Factory outlet centres in Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary, H1 2008
Prime yields in Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary (%), 2007
Prime yields in capital cities of Central European countries (%), Q4 2007
Countries where shopping centre investors in Central Europe completed major deals, by company, 2005-2008
Major shopping centre deals in Central Europe, 2005-H1 2008 59-
Presence of selected shopping centre developers in countries of Central Europe, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in Central Europe, H1 2008
Number of new shopping centres in individual Central European countries, 2008-2011
New shopping centre GLA (m m2) in individual Central European countries, 2008-2011
Largest shopping centres to be developed in Central Europe, H1 2008-2011
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of Poland, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in Poland, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in Poland, H1 2008 78-
The largest shopping centres in Poland launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in Poland, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in Poland, H1 2008 81-
Prominent contractors in Poland, H1 2008 84-
Examples of selected shopping centre construction deals on the Polish market (€ m), H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest Polish cities, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which main cities of Poland are situated, 2005
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of the Czech Republic, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in the Czech Republic, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in the Czech Republic, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in the Czech Republic launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in the Czech Republic, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in the Czech Republic, H1 2008 101-
Prominent contractors in the Czech Republic, H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest cities of the Czech Republic, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which the main cities of the Czech Republic are situated, 2005
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of Slovakia, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in Slovakia, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in Slovakia, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in Slovakia launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in Slovakia, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in Slovakia, H1 2008 116-
Prominent contractors in Slovakia, H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest cities of Slovakia, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which the main cities of Slovakia are situated, 2005
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of Hungary, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in Hungary, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in Hungary, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in Hungary launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in Hungary, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in Hungary, H1 2008 130-
Prominent contractors in Hungary, H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest Hungarian cities, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which main cities of Hungary are situated, 2005
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of Romania, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in Romania, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in Romania, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in Romania launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in Romania, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in Romania, H1 2008 144-
Prominent contractors in Romania, H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest Romanian cities, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which the main cities of Romania are situated, 2005
Selected macroeconomic and retail market data of Bulgaria, 2007-2008
Key data on shopping centre market in Bulgaria, 2008-2009
Largest shopping centres in Bulgaria, H1 2008
The largest shopping centres in Bulgaria launched or in the pipeline for 2008
Largest projects in the pipeline in Bulgaria, H2 2008-2011
Prominent developers and investors in Bulgaria, H1 2008 160-
Prominent contractors in Bulgaria, H1 2008
Shopping centres in the largest Bulgarian cities, H1 2008
Per capita GDP in PPS in regions in which main cities of Bulgaria are situated, 2005 166
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Shopping centres flourish across Central Europe. Romania, Poland and Bulgaria keep developers busy - October 2008
Whereas in 2008 shopping centres worth almost €3bn are expected to open in Central Europe, 2009 is to see the launch of projects worth twice this amount, a record €6bn. Romania and Poland will receive the greatest amount of attention from developers. Bulgaria and Slovakia, because of their small existing shopping centre bases, will observe skyrocketing growth in GLA supply and amounts invested.
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