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Construction sector in Poland, H2 2008 Comparative regional analysis and development forecasts for 2008-2011
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Construction sector in Poland, H2 2008

Comparative regional analysis and development forecasts for 2008-2011


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Date: 2008-10-20
Language: English or Polish
No. pages: 227
Delivery: PDF file

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Description:


This report comprises a sophisticated analysis of the construction industry in Poland, making it a useful guide in formulating strategic decisions and development plans for organisations active on the construction market. Additionally, it presents the newest findings of PMR’s cyclical sector climate survey conducted among the management of the largest construction companies in Poland.

This report analyses also the development and the potential of the construction industry of every Polish voivodship. It identifies regions with the most developed construction markets as well as those with the best prospects for development in the upcoming future.

Benefit from sector development forecasts for 2008-2011, presented by the individual types of construction work for the whole country and for individual voivodships, prepared using time series analysis augmented by macroeconomic projections and knowledge of our experts.


Results of survey conducted among Poland’s largest construction companies
For this report, PMR Research – PMR’s custom research unit (www.research-pmr.com) – surveyed Poland’s largest construction companies in September 2008. The survey was conducted among 130 largest construction companies active on the Polish market, using the computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) technique. This was the ninth cyclical survey of the sector (findings of previous surveys – carried out in July 2004 to March 2008 – were published in previous report editions).

As earlier, the objective of the survey was to gather information on the current situation on the Polish construction market and on the development prospects before the industry and its individual segments. PMR also questioned respondents about factors, both positive and negative, with a bearing on the industry and garnered expert views on the impact of EU membership on sector companies and on the key factors material to success on the construction market. The latest edition of the survey includes an overview of trends and changes that have taken shape over the past three years, as illustrated by the findings of subsequent survey editions.

This is a must have report for anyone from:

-the top management of construction companies active on the Polish market
-the strategic planners and executives of firms considering market entry
-companies engaged in construction and those in production and distribution of building materials
-architectural and consultancy firms interested in this market.

The report is an invaluable source of information for any company wanting to launch operations or to fortify its position on one of the local construction markets of Poland.

Table of contents:


  1. Methodology
  2. Executive summary
  3. Current situation in the Polish construction market
    • The size of the construction market
    • Construction and assembly output
    • Development forecast for construction and assembly output in 2008-2011
    • Construction firms – number and type
    • Employment and wages in construction companies
    • Construction prices and the financial standing of construction companies
    • The economic climate in the construction industry
    • Legislative changes material to the construction market
    • Building permits – the number of buildings

  4. Results of the survey conducted among the 200 largest Polish construction firms
    • Introduction
    • Assessment of the current situation of the Polish construction market
    • Expectations of Polish construction companies related to investments concerning Euro 2012
    • Overview and market standing of the largest Polish construction firms
    • Current and planned foreign operations of Polish construction companies

  5. Civil engineering construction
    • Situation in the civil engineering construction market
    • Environmental protection projects
    • Road transport
      • Expressways and motorways
    • Railway transport
    • Air transport
    • Investments in heavy industry
      • Power industry
      • Refining and chemical sector
      • Steelworks
      • Mining sector
    • Development forecast for civil engineering construction in 2008-2011

  6. Non-residential construction
    • Situation in the non-residential construction market
    • Industrial and warehouse construction
    • Commercial and services construction
    • Office construction
    • Hotel construction
    • Educational and healthcare construction
    • Development forecast for non-residential construction in 2008-2011

  7. Residential construction
    • Housing stock
    • Buildings and dwellings completed
      • Individual investors
      • Developers
      • Housing cooperatives
      • Not-for-profit building associations (TBS)
      • Other investors
    • Construction permits and housing starts
      • Housing loans
      • Housing prices
    • Development forecast for residential construction in 2008-2011

  8. Characteristics of voivodships
    • GDP, capital expenditure and population
      • GDP by voivodship
      • Capital expenditure
      • Area and population of Polish voivodships
      • Demographic forecasts
    • Construction and assembly output
      • Construction and assembly output per capita, by voivodship
      • Construction and assembly output per construction firm employee by voivodship
      • Forecast for construction and assembly output in 2008-2011
    • Civil engineering construction
      • Road network in Poland
      • Rail network in Poland
      • Development forecast for civil engineering construction in 2008-2011
    • Non-residential construction
      • Development forecast for non-residential construction in 2008-2011
    • Residential construction
      • Housing stock
      • Home completions
      • Construction permits and forecast number of home completions in 2008-2011
      • Development forecast for residential construction in 2008-2011

  9. Profiles of voivodship
    • Characteristics of voivodships

  10. Profiles of the largest construction companies
    • Polimex-Mostostal S.A.
    • Skanska S.A.
    • Budimex S.A.
    • Strabag Sp. z o.o.
    • Mostostal Warszawa S.A.
    • Warbud S.A.
    • Bilfinger Berger Polska S.A.
    • PBG S.A.
    • Kopex S.A.
    • Hochtief Polska Sp. z o.o.
    • P.R.I. Pol-Aqua S.A.
    • Mostostal Zabrze-Holding S.A.
    • Elektrobudowa S.A.
    • Erbud S.A.
    • Eiffage Budownictwo Mitex S.A.

  11. List of graphs
  12. List of tables
  13. About PMR
  14. Contact PMR

List of graphs and Tables:


List of graphs

  1. Forecast growth in construction and assembly output in Poland, by type construction (nominal change), 2007-2011
  2. Construction and assembly output in Poland, by voivodship, 2007
  3. Construction and assembly output in Poland (by voivodship), average annual growth rate, 2008-2011
  4. Size and y-o-y growth of the construction market in Poland (PLN bn and %), 2000-2008
  5. Nominal changes in construction and assembly output in Poland (%, y-o-y), January 2007-August 2008
  6. Annual changes in construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2000-H1 2008
  7. Changes in construction and assembly output in Poland by type of construction work (%), 2001-H1 2008
  8. Construction and assembly output in Poland by type of business, H1 2008
  9. Building construction and civil engineering in Poland, market size in PLN bn and y-o-y growth in %, 2000-H1 2008
  10. Building installation work in Poland, market size in PLN bn and y-o-y growth in %, 2000-H1 2008
  11. Construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building, 2007
  12. Quarterly growth in GDP and gross value added in the construction industry in Poland (%), 2006-H1 2008
  13. Real GDP growth in Poland (%), 2002-H1 2008
  14. Capital expenditure by companies on buildings and structures in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  15. Cement production in Poland, (million tonnes), 2000-2008
  16. Total construction and assembly output in Poland, 2000-2011
  17. Construction companies in Poland, by number of employees, at end of June 2008
  18. The number of new construction companies with less than nine employees, H1 2004-H1 2008
  19. Growth in revenues and earnings of construction firms in Poland, H1 2003-H1 2008
  20. Employment in the construction sector in Poland (’000), 2000-H1 2008
  21. Average gross monthly wage in the construction industry in Poland (PLN) and its changes (%), 2001 – January-August 2008
  22. Inflation rate and prices in construction and industry in Poland, January 2000-August 2008
  23. Net sales margin in industry and construction in Poland (%),2000-H1 2008
  24. Cost to revenue ratio in industry and construction in Poland (% of revenues), 2000-H1 2008
  25. Indicator of overall economic climate in the construction sector in Poland, 2005-September 2008
  26. Climate survey – construction and assembly output indicator in Poland, 2002-September 2008
  27. The number of buildings for which building permits were issued in Poland (‘000), 2000-H1 2008
  28. Assessment of the current situation in the Polish construction industry
  29. How will the Polish construction market’s situation change in the next 12 months? Will it improve, get worse or remain unchanged?
  30. Percentage of respondents forecasting growth of wages and employment in the construction industry, July 2004-September 2008
  31. What is the main reason of the downturn in the construction market?
  32. How do you expect the value of the indicator to change in 2008 relative to 2007?
  33. Percentage of respondents forecasting growth of wages and employment in the construction industry, July 2004-September 2008
  34. Which segments of the construction market will be the most attractive to Polish companies in the next two years?
  35. How do delays in the implementation of large infrastructure projects influence the operations of your company?
  36. Obstacles to doing business in the construction market
  37. Which of the recently introduced or planned changes to legal regulations contributed to improvement in the construction sector in Poland?
  38. What are the key factors to market success in the construction industry in Poland?
  39. Is your company participating in projects co-financed by the EU?
  40. Percentage of surveyed firms participating in investments co-financed by the EU, July 2004-September 2008
  41. Does your company hope to execute projects related to the preparation for Euro 2012?
  42. What part of the scheduled investment plan for Euro 2012 will be attained?
  43. Is your company afraid of competition from Chinese building companies?
  44. Surveyed companies by core business area
  45. Revenue posted by surveyed firms in 2007
  46. Is your company planning to increase or decrease its workforce in the next 12 months?
  47. Does your company employ workers from the eastern countries?
  48. Is your company planning to expand its production capacities in the next 12 months otherwise than by increasing its workforce?
  49. How is your company planning to expand its production capacities in the next 12 months (otherwise than by increasing its workforce)?
  50. How do you assess the current financial standing of your company?
  51. How do you assess your firm’s financial standing this year relative to a year ago?
  52. How do you expect your firm to stand financially at the end of 2
  53. relative to the end of 2007?
  54. How do you assess your firm’s order portfolio?
  55. How has your firm’s order portfolio changed in the past year?
  56. What do you expect to happen to your firm’s order portfolio in the next 12 months?
  57. Percentage of companies completing projects or selling products and services abroad (based on responses provided in 2004-2008)
  58. In which country is your company executing projects or selling services?
  59. Does your company plan to launch new projects or sell products or services outside of Poland?
  60. Contribution of civil engineering projects to total construction and assembly in Poland, 2003-2008
  61. Civil engineering projects in Poland by type of building, 2007
  62. Allocation of funds under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme in Poland (€ bn and %), 2007-2013
  63. Construction and assembly output comprising civil engineering buildings in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  64. Construction and assembly output comprising roads and motorways in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  65. Construction and assembly output comprising bridges, viaducts, flyovers, tunnels, subways and pedestrian bridges in Poland (PLN m), 2000-H1 2008
  66. Condition of national roads in Poland as at the end of the year, 2004-2007
  67. The length of motorways in Poland, eop (km), 2000-2011
  68. The average construction cost per kilometre of motorway in selected European countries (€ m), 2008
  69. Construction and assembly output comprising railways in Poland (PLN m), 2000-H1 2008
  70. Railways network in Poland, 2008
  71. Railway investments in Poland (€ bn), 2008-2012
  72. Poland’s regions by access to airport infrastructure, 2008
  73. Existing and planned civil airports in Poland, 2008
  74. Forecasted total cost of construction works at Polish airports (PLN m), 2008-2013
  75. Construction and assembly output comprising civil engineering construction in Poland (nominal changes in %), 2000-2011
  76. Non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  77. Contribution of residential construction to total construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2003-2008
  78. Non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building, 2007
  79. The number and floor area of non-residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  80. Industrial and warehouse construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  81. The number and floor area of industrial and warehouse buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  82. Warehouse space in Poland (‘000 m2), 2008
  83. Construction and assembly output comprising commercial and services buildings in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  84. The number and floor area of commercial and services buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  85. Floor space (m2) and share (as percentage of total commercial space) of individual types of modern commercial space in Poland, 2007
  86. The shares of cities in the area of planned development of shopping centres in Poland (%), H2 2008-2011
  87. The number of hypermarkets in Poland, 1997-2008
  88. Market shares of building materials stores in Poland, H1 2008
  89. Office construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  90. The number and floor area of office buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  91. Existing and planned office building projects in regional cities in Poland (m2), 2008
  92. Construction and assembly output comprising hotels and tourist accommodation buildings in Poland (PLN m), 2002-H1 2008
  93. The number and floor area of hotels and tourist accommodation buildings in Poland for which construction permits were issued, 2000-H1 2008
  94. Construction and assembly output comprising cultural, educational, sports, healthcare buildings and hospitals (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  95. The number and floor area of cultural, educational, sports, healthcare buildings and hospitals for which construction permits were issued in Poland, 2000-H1 2008
  96. Non-residential construction and assembly output in Poland, 2000-2011
  97. Contribution of residential construction to total construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2003-2008
  98. Residential construction and assembly output in Poland (PLN bn), 2000-H1 2008
  99. Residential construction and assembly output in Poland by type of building, 2007
  100. Structure of the primary housing market in Poland, by type of investor, H1 2008
  101. The number of housing starts and homes for which building permits were issued in Poland (‘000), 2000-H1 2008
  102. The number (‘000) and value (PLN bn) of mortgage loans in Poland, 2004-2008
  103. Structure of price of housing per one square metre in Warsaw, 2004-2007
  104. Residential construction and assembly output in Poland, 2000-2011
  105. Dwellings completed in Poland – number (‘000) and growth rate (%), 2006-2011
  106. GDP per capita in Poland by voivodship (the average for Poland=100%), 2007
  107. Annual changes in construction and assembly output in Poland, 2002-H1 2008
  108. Sales of construction and assembly output per capita in Poland (PLN), 2007
  109. Sales of construction and assembly output per construction employee in Poland, (PLN ‘000), 2007
  110. Construction and assembly output in Poland – civil engineering and road construction projects, by voivodship (PLN m), 2007
  111. Hard-surface roads per 100 km2 of total area in Poland (road density) by voivodship, 2007
  112. Assessment of national road surface condition in Poland by voivodship, 2008
  113. Percentage of Polish national roads, which need immediate repair (%), 2006-2007
  114. Length and density of rail network in Poland by voivodship, 2007
  115. Construction and assembly output in Poland – non-residential construction by voivodship (PLN m), 2006-2007
  116. Number of non-residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, by voivodship, 2006-2007
  117. Number of existing homes in Poland per 1,000 inhabitants, 2007
  118. Home completions in Poland by voivodship, 2007-H1 2008
  119. Home completions per thousand population in Poland, 2007
  120. The number of new dwellings for which construction permits were issued by voivodship, 2007-H1 2008
  121. The number of residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland by voivodship, 2007-H1 2008
  122. The number of home completions in Poland, by voivodship, 2007-H1 2008
  123. Construction and assembly output in Poland – residential construction by voivodship, (PLN m), 2007
  124. Building permits and home starts in Poland by voivodship (‘000), H1 2008

List of tables

  1. Construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2007-2011
  2. Main indicators illustrating the condition of the Polish construction industry, 2001-2008
  3. Breakdown of construction and assembly output in Poland, by type of building, 2005-H1 2008
  4. Forecasts for the main economic indicators in Poland, 2008-2010
  5. Investment projects related to the organisation of Euro 2012 in Poland (PLN m), 2008-2012
  6. The number of construction firms in Poland, June 2002-June 2008
  7. Financial highlights of the largest construction groups in Poland, 2007-H1 2008
  8. Financial highlights of construction companies in Poland (PLN m), H1 2002-H1 2008
  9. Change in prices of building materials and employment in construction companies in Poland in 2008 relative to 2007, based on assessments provided by the respondents to our survey
  10. Funds for construction of national roads in Poland (PLN bn), 2008-2012
  11. Planned network of motorways in Poland
  12. Planned network of expressways in Poland
  13. Road construction tenders in Poland, 2008
  14. A1 motorway construction progress
  15. A2 motorway construction progress
  16. A4 motorway construction progress
  17. The largest tenders concerning railway projects in Poland, 2008
  18. EU funds provided under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme to finance execution of key investment projects at Polish airports, 2007-2013
  19. Air transport projects in Poland provided for in the Regional Operational Programmes, by voivodship, 2007-2013
  20. Non-residential buildings completed in Poland in 2005-2007, by type of building
  21. The largest planned and completed shopping centres in Poland, H2 2008-2011
  22. The number of hypermarkets in Poland, 2007-2008
  23. Foreign supermarket chains in Poland, 2007-2008
  24. Discount store chains in Poland, 2007
  25. Housing stock in Poland, as at June-end 2008
  26. The average useable floor area of homes completed in Poland (m2), 2000-H1 2008
  27. Housing completions in Poland by type, 1996-H1 2008
  28. Change in housing completions in Poland, 1998-H1 2008
  29. Homes for which building permits were issued in Poland, 2007 and H1 2008
  30. Housing starts in Poland, 2007 and H1 2008
  31. Voivodships’ shares in Polish GDP (%), 1998-2011
  32. Capital expenditure in Poland by voivodship, 2007-2008
  33. Forecast for capital expenditure growth in Poland (PLN m), 2007-2011
  34. Area and population of Poland by voivodship, 2007
  35. Population forecast for Poland by voivodship (in ‘000), 2007-2035 (as of 31 December)
  36. Forecast for construction and assembly output in Poland (%), 2008-2011
  37. Construction and assembly output in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2007-2011
  38. Motorways network in Poland as planned for 2013
  39. Construction and assembly output – civil engineering construction in Poland, by voivodship (PLN m), 2007-2011
  40. Forecast for construction and assembly output – non-residential construction in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2007-2011
  41. Housing stock in Poland by voivodship, 2007
  42. Number of home completions in Poland, 2007-2011
  43. Construction and assembly output – residential construction in Poland by voivodship (PLN m), 2007-2011
  44. Population of Poland by voivodship, 2004-2007
  45. Number of construction firms in Poland by voivodship, end of June 2008
  46. Output of construction firms in Poland by voivodship (PLN m and € m) 2005-H1 2008
  47. Construction and assembly output in Poland, by voivodship (PLN m and € m), 2005-H1 2008
  48. Construction and assembly output in Poland, investment works, by voivodship (PLN m and € m), 2005-2007
  49. Construction and assembly output in Poland, renovation works, by voivodship (PLN m and € m), 2005-2007
  50. Number of residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, by voivodship, 2004-H1 2008
  51. Number of non-residential buildings for which construction permits were issued in Poland, by voivodship, 2004-H1 2008
  52. Characteristics of voivodships 171-
  53. Key financial data on the Polimex-Mostostal Group, 2005-H1 2008
  54. Key financial data on the Skanska Group, 2005-H1 2008
  55. Key financial data on the Budimex Group, 2005-H1 2008
  56. Key financial data on Strabag Sp z o.o., 2005-H1 2008
  57. Key financial data on the Mostostal Warszawa Group, 2005-H1 2008
  58. Key financial data on the Warbud Group, 2005-H1 2008
  59. Key financial data on the PBG Group, 2005-H1 2008
  60. Key financial data on the Kopex Group, 2005-H1 2008
  61. Key financial data on the Hochtief Polska Group, 2005-H1 2008
  62. Key financial data on the P.R.I. Pol-Aqua Group, 2005-H1 2008
  63. Key financial data on the Mostostal Zabrze Group, 2005-H1 2008
  64. Key financial data on the Elektrobudowa Group, 2005-H1 2008
  65. Key financial data on Erbud Group, 2005-H1 2008
  66. Key financial data on the Eiffage Budownictwo Mitex Group, 2005-H1 2008

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